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2021 Compensatory Draft Picks Update (11/17/2020)

There have been several developments regarding how compensatory picks are now being awarded since OTC’s last written update on its projection of the 2021 slate of comp picks. Let’s get right to it.

TeamRoundCompensated Free AgentAPY
NE3Tom Brady$25,000,000
LAC3Philip Rivers$25,000,000
NO3Teddy Bridgewater$21,000,000
DAL3Byron Jones$16,500,000
TEN3Jack Conklin$14,000,000
LAR3Dante Fowler Jr.$15,000,000
NE4Kyle Van Noy$12,750,000
DAL4Robert Quinn$14,000,000
PIT4Javon Hargrave$13,000,000
GB4Blake Martinez$10,250,000
LAR4Cory Littleton$11,750,000
MIN4Trae Waynes$14,000,000
NE4Jamie Collins$10,000,000
KC4Kendall Fuller$10,000,000
ATL5Vic Beasley$9,500,000
GB5Bryan Bulaga$10,000,000
DAL5Randall Cobb$9,000,000
KC5Emmanuel Ogbah$7,500,000
SF5Emmanuel Sanders$8,000,000
BAL5Michael Pierce$9,000,000
ATL5De’Vondre Campbell$6,000,000
CAR5Vernon Butler$7,625,000
TB6Breshad Perriman$6,500,000
ATL6Wes Schweitzer$4,500,000
GB6Kyler Fackrell$4,600,000
CHI6Nicholas Williams$5,000,000
PHI6Jordan Howard$4,875,000
MIN6Mackensie Alexander$4,000,000
BAL6Seth Roberts$3,750,000
CHI6Chase Daniel$4,350,000
PIT6B.J. Finney$4,000,000
PHI6Ronald Darby$3,000,000
Compensation over 32-pick limit; not awarded
CHI6Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix$3,750,000
PIT6Tyler Matakevich$3,575,000
CHI6Kevin Pierre-Louis$3,000,000
TB6Beau Allen$3,500,000
PHI7Kamu Grugier-Hill$3,000,000
ATL7Adrian Clayborn$2,875,000
DAL7Xavier Su’a-Filo$3,000,000
CAR7Daryl Williams$2,250,000
MIN7Andrew Sendejo$2,250,000
IND7Devin Funchess$2,500,000
IND7Joe Haeg$2,300,000
MIN7Jayron Kearse$2,000,000
NE7Nate Ebner$2,000,000
BAL7Patrick Onwuasor$2,000,000

As you can see, the list on the right (or above on mobile) is very long. As it stands right now, 2021 is projected to shatter the record for most eligible compensatory picks at 46. Since the CBA strictly limits the number of awarded compensatory picks to 32, that means that 14 of these eligible picks would be discarded. That includes all 7th rounders, and even a few 6th rounders. Some of this is due to chance that always exists in the formula, but a bit of this is also due to some additional revelations regarding the formula that will be described below.

The Week 10 rule is no more

Week 10 of the 2020 season is in the books. In the past, what this would have meant for compensatory picks is that teams could no longer cut compensatory free agents (CFAs) on their team and be relieved from those contracts counting against them in the formula.

However, in yet another likely effort by the NFL Management Council to cut down on teams circumventing the formula, the Week 10 rule appears to be no more. Back in August, OTC reported that this was the case, and this has since been confirmed by our good friend Brian McFarland of Russell Street Report.

The best way to understand the veracity of these reports is to take Appendix V of the 2020 CBA, which is the binding authority on the compensatory formula, very literally for what it says–and also for what it does not say. There is no paragraph that says that players can get relief for terminating the contracts of CFAs, nor is “Week 10” or “ten weeks” ever mentioned. Therefore, this is more strong evidence that this rule has been abolished.

And it doesn’t take much thought as to why this rule was abolished. The 2019 regular season saw a large number of compensatory free agents that were cut for comp pick purposes. That likely was not a positive experience for any of these players, even if some of them found better opportunities elsewhere. The abolition of this rule also makes managing cancellation charts easier for teams and for OTC’s projection.

For the 2021 projection, the relevant CFAs that have been cut are:

  • Gerald McCoy (left Carolina, signed with Dallas)
  • Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix (left Chicago, signed with Dallas)
  • Vic Beasley (left Tennessee, signed with Atlanta)
  • Seth Roberts (left Baltimore, signed with Carolina)
  • Jordan Howard (left Philadelphia, signed with Miami)

Perhaps the only question that might remain is if the compensatory formula will still count the entire contract, or only what was earned. For example, McCoy signed a contract for $6.1 million in APY, but only earned $3 million over 1 year. If the formula counted him at $3 million APY, that would help the Cowboys’ comp picks. However, since Appendix V makes no such mention, the projection is assuming that the whole contract will count.

CFAs that are COVID-19 opt outs will still be eligible to award compensatory picks.

Among all the chaos that this pandemic created, it also resulted in collective bargaining that allowed players to opt out of the season by tolling their contract a year. Two compensatory free agents applied for this opt out: Michael Pierce (left Baltimore, signed with Minnesota) and Devin Funchess (left Indianapolis, signed with Green Bay). The best assumption to have made was that these players would still qualify as CFAs, but that they would earn no snap count bonus. The most important part of this, qualification, has indeed been confirmed by Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic.

Another important part of this question applies not just to COVID-19 opt outs that are CFAs, but to the league as whole, which brings us to the next important change in the projection:

The number of “all players on rosters” could be higher than normal this season

What remains the most difficult part of projecting compensatory picks is determining the number, as defined by Appendix V, of “all players on rosters at the conclusion of a regular season”. This number is important, because this is the denominator of how percentile cutoffs are determined, which in turn determine what round, if any, a CFA’s contract is valued as.

In the past, the best way to guess this number is to only exclude players that are on practice squads, but include all others–including players on reserve lists, such as Injured Reserve. However, the new COVID-19 rules have also resulted in more players on reserve lists. This is not only the 69 players that opted out, as described above, but also potentially a number of additional players on the Reserve/COVID-19 list for active players that have either tested positive or may be at risk to test positive.

If these players are included, that should increase this leaguewide roster count denominator. Previously, the formula was using a rough estimate of previous estimations, which came out to 1,935. However, the formula will now be using a real time count of this number that is pulled from OTC’s database. At the time of publication, that number is 2,050. The end result is that some CFAs may now be valued at a higher round, and some other CFAs that were not projected to qualify now do.

As a result, here are the following changes to watch for in OTC’s 2021 comp pick projections:

  • New England: There is a chance that they could earn a net loss of four CFAs. However, this will depend on whether or not Nate Ebner’s contract qualifies. That contract is right on the bubble. Patriots fans should root for Ebner, a career special teams player, to earn some more snaps on defense for the Giants.

    However, even if Ebner’s contract qualifies, whether the Patriots get a fourth comp pick will come down to the valuation of Beau Allen’s contract. Currently, it’s on the bubble of the 6th/7th round cutoff. If it’s valued as a 7th, which is possible given that Allen is missing the entire season, the Patriots would add a 6th rounder for the departure of Danny Shelton. But if it’s a 6th, the potential fourth comp pick would be a 7th for Ebner that wouldn’t make the 32 pick limit.
  • Baltimore: Their net loss of CFAs could raise to two or even three. The contracts of both Josh Bynes and Patrick Onwuasor are on the bubble of qualifying. If at least one of them do, the Ravens could potentially add a 6th rounder for the departure of Seth Roberts (despite being cut by the Panthers as described above). Like Patriots fans, Ravens fans should root for Bynes to continue play frequently for the Bengals, and for Onwuasor to get off IR and play for the Jets.

    However, like the Patriots, this would also depend on whether Derek Wolfe’s contract is valued as a 6th or 7th rounder, a contract is right on the bubble of that cutoff. If it’s a 6th, then the contracts of Wolfe and Roberts will cancel each other out, and like with the Patriots and Ebner, 7th rounders for the contracts of Bynes or Onwuasor will not make the 32 pick limit. The Ravens will decide whether additional playtime for Wolfe, a player who’s contribution has always been valued since entering the league with the Broncos, is worth losing a potential 6th round comp pick.
  • Pittsburgh: Tyler Matakevich, primarily a special teamer with the Bills, is also on the bubble of that 6th/7th round cutoff. If his contract is valued as a 6th, there’s a chance the Steelers could add an addition 6th rounder for his departure, but it may be difficult for it to make the 32 pick limit.
  • Kansas City: Due to injury early in the season, there was some question as to whether Kendall Fuller’s contract would be valued at the 4th or 5th round. With the cutoffs getting more generous, as long as Fuller stays healthy, the Chiefs should feel more comfortable that they’ll indeed get a 4th rounder for his departure to DC.
  • Philadelphia: Ronald Darby’s contract is now more likely to be valued as a 6th rounder, which would possibly give the Eagles a 6th round comp pick for his departure, so long as it can make the 32 pick limit.
  • Atlanta: De’Vondre Campbell’s contract may now be valued a 5th rounder instead of a 6th, those boosting a comp pick the Falcons are projected to get from a 6th to a 5th.
  • Carolina: It is now more likely that Vernon Butler’s contract will be valued as a 5th rounder than as a 6th. If that’s the case, then the Panthers would get a 5th for his departure instead of a 6th for a different player’s departure.
  • Tampa Bay: The question with Beau Allen’s contract as described above under the Patriots also affects his former team in the Bucs. If the contract is valued as a 6th rounder, the Bucs will get a 6th for that contract. If not, they’d only be eligible for a possible 7th rounder for the departure of Jameis Winston (assuming his odd consideration qualifies him at all) that won’t make the 32 pick limit, even if Winston plays as much as the rest of the regular season in relief of Drew Brees in New Orleans.

How will compensatory picks for the hiring of minority head coaches and general managers be handled?

Finally, the NFL finally succeeded in using the compensatory pick system to encourage the advancement of minorities in its highest ranks. The league approved a resolution that will award two or three 3rd round comp picks, one each per draft, to teams that see a coach or executive depart due to being hired as a head coach or general manager elsewhere.

While the resolution itself is straightforward, the application to the compensatory formula is not. The resolution states that “[a]ny compensatory Draft picks awarded pursuant to this Policy will be at the end of the third round following all compensatory Draft picks awarded to clubs pursuant to Appendix V of the NFL-NFLPA Collective Bargaining Agreement”.

However, Art. 6, §2(a)(i) of the CBA is very clear that the number of comp picks are to be “a maximum number of additional Compensatory Draft Selections equal to the number of Clubs then in the League”, which is 32. To confirm how strict this is, when there was a rare exception to this in 2016 when a 33rd pick was authorized due to clarification over how the contract of transition tagged Charles Clay should be handled, that authorization required approval from the NFLPA.

If the intention of the league is to award these minority hire compensatory picks separate from what is laid out in Appendix V, and potentially go beyond 32 comp picks in total, then I would presume that the NFLPA may want to give a similar approval here. Whether or not this is an issue the NFLPA wants to take up is up to them, but the reason why they might want to is straightforward: if there are more than 32 comp picks, that means that there are more incoming rookies that are denied the privilege of undrafted free agency.

Conversely, if the number of total comp picks remains fixed at 32, then that will force more regular comp picks to miss the 32 pick limit. That may be of concern for teams that were counting on a 6th or 7th round pick that won’t get it due to the addition of this new rule.

This is an answer that OTC will try to track down, and if any of our friends in the media are also able to get an answer, that would be greatly appreciated.

A Modest Proposal To Nudge Trade Deadline Activity

Fans and the media often crave for activity as the trade deadline approaches. They identify contenders and pretenders, and make reasonable hypotheses of where players from the latter should go to the former. Yet every season, they are regularly disappointed as to how little actually happens. Much of this has to do with the how the rules of the CBA and the financial constraints that it creates make trades less practical than it seems. However, it may be fair to say in some cases that a few teams are more reticent to throw in the towel on players that are unlikely to be part of their future than they should be.

Therefore, as a bit of a thought exercise I conceived a proposed new rule to the CBA that would allow a small group of players to be traded immediately after the deadline–even against the will of the team they’re currently on.

To be eligible to be one of those players, all of the following criteria must be attained:

  1. The player must be on a team that has either zero or one wins by the trade deadline. (The idea here is that with a minimum of six losses plus ties, even with an expanded playoff slate it would still be daunting to come back from that hole.)
  2. The player’s contract must be set to expire at the conclusion of this season.
  3. The player must be on a vested veteran contract. (That’s defined here as having at least four accrued seasons before the current season started, and also not on a rookie contract.)
  4. The player additionally may not be on a one year contract resulting from being given a franchise or transition tender. (The idea here is that we are giving teams the benefit of the doubt that they are actually using these tenders in a good faith effort to later extend them.)

Among those players, the following procedure would then take place:

  1. In the 24 hours after the trade deadline ends (this year, Tuesday, November 3 at 4 PM ET), any team may submit any amount of draft pick compensation it is willing to surrender to a team in exchange for the player it would like to acquire.
  2. After this 24 hour period ends (this year, Wednesday, November 4 at 4 PM ET), the NFL notifies all teams and players in question who has been given a trade offer. If multiple offers are made for the same player, the offer with the higher draft compensation wins out, and ties will be broken by standard waiver order.
  3. For the next 48 hours (this year, ending on Friday, November 6 at 4 PM ET), the player decides whether or not to accept the trade offer. If so desired, the player and team may renegotiate their contract to avoid the trade, and they may also be granted an exemption from the trade deadline to trade the player to a different team for different compensation, should both sides agree upon it.

The list of players on the right (or below on small mobile devices) are the players from the teams that could qualify for this new rule in 2020. Those teams, for the time being, are the Jets, Giants, Jaguars, Texans, Falcons, Vikings, and Bengals. The players on the Jets, Jaguars and Texans will be there no matter what, while the other teams will remain should they lose in Week 8.

Looking at this list, there are hardly any stars on there, as you’d expect, and the grand majority would be players that teams would be unlikely to be desired by other teams for even a 7th round pick. Still, there are a few notable names that might be able to help a team with injury/depth problems at certain positions.

Some positions that caught my eye were the following:

  • Defensive backs appear to stand out in quantity. This includes Brian Poole, Pierre Desir, and Bradley McDougald on the Jets, Logan Ryan on the Giants, Mackensie Alexander on the Bengals, Vernon Hargreaves on the Texans, and Darqueze Dennard on the Falcons.
  • Alex Mack, Dakota Dozier, and Cameron Fleming are a trio of offensive linemen with high snap counts that could provide a patch for teams hurting there.
  • Teams looking for edge rush help could look at Kyler Fackrell, Brennan Scarlett, or Jordan Jenkins.
  • At wide receiver, the Jets have a pair in Breshad Perriman and Chris Hogan, while Chris Conley shows up on this list from the Jaguars, as well as Kenny Stills from the Texans.
  • Finally, would anyone take a flyer on Todd Gurley at running back?

This is an idea that almost certainly will never happen, as teams will be very loath to give up this kind of roster control. But if nothing else, it’s at least a way to identify players whose time on a struggling team may be coming to an end, regardless of whether that’s now or at the end of the regular season.

NameTeamPos.AgeSnapsRemaining Salary
Alex MackATLC35100.0%$4,705,882
Kenny StillsHOUWR2832.5%$4,102,941
D.J. HaydenJAXCB3043.5%$3,529,412
Shawn WilliamsCINS299.6%$2,455,331
Bradley McDougaldNYJS3093.6%$2,398,897
Todd GurleyATLRB2654.7%$2,058,824
Breshad PerrimanNYJWR2734.6%$2,045,956
Avery WilliamsonNYJLB2855.7%$2,039,522
Abry JonesJAXIDL2939.1%$2,000,000
Chris ConleyJAXWR2841.0%$1,588,548
Kyler FackrellNYGEDGE2973.7%$1,529,412
Kevin HuberCINP3530.9%$1,470,588
Mackensie AlexanderCINCB2754.4%$1,464,154
Spencer PulleyNYGC270.0%$1,180,882
Matt SchaubATLQB390.0%$1,176,471
A.J. McCarronHOUQB300.0%$1,176,471
Graham GanoNYGK3332.6%$1,170,037
Cameron FlemingNYGRT2896.3%$1,163,603
Jordan JenkinsNYJEDGE2647.9%$1,163,603
Brian PooleNYJCB2882.4%$1,163,603
Brennan ScarlettHOUEDGE2752.6%$1,083,640
Pierre DesirNYJCB3080.9%$1,016,544
Alex EricksonCINWR286.7%$997,426
Dion LewisNYGRB3034.5%$900,184
Logan RyanNYGCB2992.5%$898,897
Randy BullockCINK3135.4%$897,059
Christian CovingtonCINDE2752.0%$875,919
Joe FlaccoNYJQB3535.8%$870,772
Mike DanielsCINDT3115.6%$842,647
Tyler ShatleyJAXC2942.7%$808,824
Austin JohnsonNYGIDL3119.9%$801,471
Matthias FarleyNYJS280.7%$749,044
LeShaun SimsCINCB2738.8%$731,434
Josh BynesCINLB3170.0%$730,147
Kamalei CorreaJAXEDGE2619.5%$728,860
Chris ThompsonJAXRB3034.9%$673,897
James O’ShaughnessyJAXTE2849.7%$647,794
Mike GlennonJAXQB310.0%$645,772
Devonta FreemanNYGRB2831.7%$629,412
Vernon HargreavesHOUCB2577.7%$625,919
Jabaal SheardNYGEDGE313.7%$617,647
Margus HuntCINDT3327.3%$617,647
Jon WeeksHOULS3428.7%$617,647
Luke StockerATLTE3239.6%$617,647
LaRoy ReynoldsATLLB304.9%$617,647
Frank GoreNYJRB3740.3%$617,647
Chris HoganNYJWR3268.2%$617,647
Clark HarrisCINLS3630.9%$617,647
Blidi Wreh-WilsonATLCB3127.3%$617,647
Nate EbnerNYGS327.0%$617,647
Colt McCoyNYGQB340.0%$617,647
Aaron LynchJAXEDGE270.0%$591,544
Darqueze DennardATLCB2947.6%$591,544
Patrick OnwuasorNYJLB280.0%$588,235
Neville HewittNYJLB2799.3%$588,235
Steven MeansATLEDGE3147.6%$535,294
Kyle EmanuelHOULB290.0%$535,294
Caraun ReidJAXDT297.1%$535,294
Xavier WilliamsCINDT2811.2%$535,294
Josh AndrewsNYJRG2910.4%$535,294
Brett JonesMINC290.0%$535,294
George IlokaMINS3010.6%$535,294
Brent QvaleHOURT290.0%$535,294
Adam GotsisJAXEDGE2845.9%$535,294
Eric TomlinsonNYGTE280.5%$535,294
C.J. ProsiseHOURB261.4%$535,294
John WetzelATLRT290.7%$535,294
Bruce MillerJAXFB3311.6%$535,294
Todd DavisMINLB2811.8%$535,294
Sharrod NeasmanATLS2910.7%$535,294
Daniel BrownNYJTE280.0%$535,294
Tyrell AdamsHOULB2834.0%$535,294
Dakota DozierMINLG29100.0%$535,294
Phillip GainesHOUCB2916.3%$535,294
Rashod HillMINRT281.1%$535,294
Ameer AbdullahMINRB275.3%$535,294
Casey KreiterNYGLS3028.7%$535,294
Sean MannionMINQB280.0%$535,294
Michael ThomasHOUS3112.6%$535,294
Brandon WilliamsNYGCB280.0%$485,294
Mike ThomasCINWR2632.9%$485,294
Tajae SharpeMINWR264.2%$485,294
Bryce HagerNYJLB280.0%$130,311
David FalesNYJQB300.0%$120,000
Greg ManczHOUC280.0%$120,000
Ross TravisNYJTE270.0%$120,000
Carson TinkerNYGLS310.0%$120,000
Laquon TreadwellATLWR250.0%$120,000
Josh MauroJAXEDGE290.0%$120,000
Alfred MorrisNYGRB320.0%$120,000
Corey LiugetHOUDE300.0%$120,000
Devin SmithHOUWR270.0%$120,000

Evaluation Of The 2016 Rookie Classes

The Collective Bargaining Agreement is structured in such a way that teams have inexpensive and exclusive control over players during their first four accrued seasons, before they can earn unrestricted free agency. Now that most of the players on 2016 rookie classes have done so, let’s take a look how those incoming players as a whole did, and look at classes that contributed the most and least on the basis of snap counts, and then see how many of those players got vested veteran contracts during this offseason.

If you wish to see all rookie classes, visit OTC’s Rookie Class Evalaution page here, and learn about the methodology behind this project here.

(more…)

Players On Track To Be Helped By the New PPE Rules

As part of the 2020 Collective Bargaining Agreement, an expansion of the Proven Performance Escalator (PPE) was agreed upon. Article 7, Section 4 of the CBA has the full details, while OTC’s PPE projection page has now been updated to account for this expansion. Brad also took you down an alternate history of the past that shows what the expanded PPE would have yielded to players if it were a part of the 2011 CBA.

The table in this article will go into the future, and show which players are in line to have their fourth year salaries improved due to the PPE expansion.

A total of 57 players are currently helped by the PPE extension. A slight majority of those (31) are 2nd round picks would have received no PPE under the 2011 CBA. The other 26 are 3rd to 7th rounders who have effectively have their PPE boosted from Level One to Level Two.

Note that all 2nd rounders listed are on track to earn the Level Two PPE, due to the 55% snap threshold of that level being lower than the Level One threshold of 60%. Should any of these players’ snap counts fall in their remaining qualifying seasons, their three year average will need to come above 60% to even get a Level One PPE, a potentially narrow window.

Four players–Mark Andrews, Nick Chubb, Darius Leonard, and Mecole Hardman–are ensured a Level Three PPE due to their original ballot selection to a Pro Bowl. This is particularly important for Chubb (a running back) and Hardman (who made the Pro Bowl as a returner) thus far, as they otherwise would not qualify for any PPE level. Andrews would also fall to Level One without the Pro Bowl.

Broken down by team, the Colts lead the way with the most players with improved PPE projection with four. That’s led by a trio of 2nd round picks that includes Leonard. Four teams–the Partiots, Jets, Chargers, Eagles–have no player that had its projected PPE upgraded as a part of the 2020 CBA. Of those four, the Patriots stand out as having no player eligible for the PPE at all from the 2018 and 2019 draft classes.

To learn about all players eligible for the PPE in addition to those that got an upgrade in the 2020 CBA, please visit OTC’s updated PPE projections page.

NameTeamRound2011 CBA PPEPPE Level2018 Snaps2019 Snaps2020 SnapsSnap Average
Jerome BakerDolphins3YesTwo 62.1% (2) 96.8% (2) 0.0% 79.5% (1)
Orlando BrownRavens3YesTwo 63.9% (2) 100.0% (2) 0.0% 82.0% (1)
Mark AndrewsRavens3YesThree 34.8% 41.5% (3) 0.0% 38.2% (1)
Jessie Bates IIIBengals2NoTwo 98.7% (2) 99.0% (2) 0.0% 98.9% (1)
Nick ChubbBrowns2NoThree 36.2% 68.3% (3) 0.0% 52.3%
Justin ReidTexans3YesTwo 84.8% (2) 85.2% (2) 0.0% 85.0% (1)
Darius LeonardColts2NoThree 91.1% (2) 79.9% (3) 0.0% 85.5% (1)
Braden SmithColts2NoTwo 75.1% (2) 99.9% (2) 0.0% 87.5% (1)
Harold LandryTitans2NoTwo 56.7% (2) 85.4% (2) 0.0% 71.1% (1)
Courtland SuttonBroncos2NoTwo 76.3% (2) 92.0% (2) 0.0% 84.2% (1)
Connor WilliamsCowboys2NoTwo 64.0% (2) 64.9% (2) 0.0% 64.5% (1)
Michael GallupCowboys3YesTwo 68.4% (2) 75.6% (2) 0.0% 72.0% (1)
Will HernandezGiants2NoTwo 99.6% (2) 100.0% (2) 0.0% 99.8% (1)
James DanielsBears2NoTwo 70.9% (2) 100.0% (2) 0.0% 85.5% (1)
Brian O’NeillVikings2NoTwo 76.0% (2) 94.9% (2) 0.0% 85.5% (1)
Donte JacksonPanthers2NoTwo 89.5% (2) 66.1% (2) 0.0% 77.8% (1)
Carlton DavisBucs2NoTwo 68.5% (2) 85.1% (2) 0.0% 76.8% (1)
Jordan WhiteheadBucs4YesTwo 63.0% (2) 81.7% (2) 0.0% 72.4% (1)
Christian KirkCardinals2NoTwo 57.5% (2) 75.4% (2) 0.0% 66.5% (1)
Fred Warner49ers3YesTwo 98.8% (2) 96.1% (2) 0.0% 97.5% (1)
Tre FlowersSeahawks5YesTwo 91.1% (2) 91.2% (2) 0.0% 91.2% (1)
Cody FordBills2NoTwo 69.2% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 69.2% (1)
Dawson KnoxBills3YesTwo 60.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 60.0% (1)
Michael DeiterDolphins3YesTwo 92.5% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 92.5% (1)
Michael JordanBengals4YesTwo 58.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 58.6% (1)
Greedy WilliamsBrowns2NoTwo 64.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 64.0% (1)
Mack WilsonBrowns5YesTwo 88.2% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 88.2% (1)
Diontae JohnsonSteelers3YesTwo 65.5% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 65.5% (1)
Max ScharpingTexans2NoTwo 87.9% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 87.9% (1)
Rock Ya-SinColts2NoTwo 82.4% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 82.4% (1)
Khari WillisColts4YesTwo 60.2% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 60.2% (1)
Jawaan TaylorJaguars2NoTwo 100.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% (1)
Gardner MinshewJaguars6YesTwo 83.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 83.0% (1)
A.J. BrownTitans2NoTwo 68.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 68.3% (1)
Nate DavisTitans3YesTwo 73.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 73.1% (1)
Dalton RisnerBroncos2NoTwo 96.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 96.3% (1)
Mecole HardmanChiefs2NoThree 45.2% (3) 0.0% 0.0% 45.2%
Juan ThornhillChiefs2NoTwo 90.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 90.3% (1)
Trayvon MullenRaiders2NoTwo 64.7% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 64.7% (1)
Maxx CrosbyRaiders4YesTwo 72.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 72.1% (1)
Darius SlaytonGiants5YesTwo 65.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 65.6% (1)
Terry McLaurinRedskins3YesTwo 81.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 81.6% (1)
Cole HolcombRedskins5YesTwo 63.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 63.3% (1)
David MontgomeryBears3YesTwo 57.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 57.3% (1)
Will HarrisLions3YesTwo 58.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 58.3% (1)
Elgton JenkinsPackers2NoTwo 89.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 89.1% (1)
Irv Smith Jr.Vikings2NoTwo 59.8% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 59.8%
Kendall SheffieldFalcons4YesTwo 67.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 67.0% (1)
Dennis DaleyPanthers6YesTwo 61.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 61.1% (1)
Erik McCoySaints2NoTwo 99.4% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 99.4% (1)
Sean Murphy-BuntingBucs2NoTwo 60.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 60.1% (1)
Byron MurphyCardinals2NoTwo 97.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 97.6% (1)
Taylor RappRams2NoTwo 74.3% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 74.3% (1)
David EdwardsRams5YesTwo 61.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 61.6% (1)
Deebo Samuel49ers2NoTwo 67.0% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 67.0% (1)
Dre Greenlaw49ers5YesTwo 70.1% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 70.1% (1)
D.K. MetcalfSeahawks2NoTwo 83.6% (2) 0.0% 0.0% 83.6% (1)

How Would Previous Draft Picks Have Changed With The Proposed Rooney Rule Expansion?

On Friday, Jim Trotter of the NFL Network reported that the NFL is proposing an expansion to the Rooney Rule in an effort to improve upon the league’s sclerotic efforts in hiring racial minority to executive, head coach, and coordinator positions. One half of the rule, which would abolish anti-tampering rules for assistant coaches interviewing for coordinator positions, would be very important and significant, if also a straightforward rule change.

The other half, one that has received some skepticism from voices like Mike Florio, Michael Rosenberg, and Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn, would radically alter several aspects of the NFL Draft. This article will focus on that portion of the proposal, by taking an objective look at what changes would have happened in previous drafts dating back to 2003, when the Rooney Rule was first established, with the goal of helping observers form an opinion on this part of the proposal.

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Introducing The Collective Bargaining Agreement On Over The Cap

The Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) between the owners of the NFL and the NFL Players Association is the most important document in the league, as it is the foundation for its entire operations. Knowledge of the CBA is key to understanding the intricacies of those operations–including, but not limited to, contracts and the salary cap.

That’s why, with the ratification of the 2020 CBA, we at Over The Cap have now published the entire document on our website.

As you can see in the subsequent links of this sentence as examples, each article, section, subsection, and appendix is directly linkable, allowing readers to quickly jump to a particular location of the CBA without having to scroll through a massive PDF. In future articles, you may see OTC make citations to relevant clauses to the CBA via these links.

The legalese of the CBA can be overwhelming at times, so over the course of the 2020 CBA’s duration, OTC will gradually add some “Plain English” paragraphs to portions of the CBA that will help to better explain what they mean, and why they are important. We hope that this project can continue to further knowledge of the NFL to our viewers.

You can get started at viewing the CBA on the web via OTC right here at its root, at the table of contents.

2021 Compensatory Draft Picks Update (4/29/2020)

In the new CBA, the deadline for unrestricted free agents to be able to qualify as compensatory free agents (CFAs) was moved up again, now to the first Monday after the draft. This year, that’s April 27. Now that that date has passed, let’s take a look at where OTC’s projection for the 2021 compensatory picks stand. If you have any questions about how this list is generated, please take a look at the cancellation charts for all 32 teams here.

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