In Moneyball, the main crux of the entire philosophy lies with the fact that each team only has 27 outs each and winning and losing depends on what you do with those 27 outs. This is why the Moneyball philosophy doesn’t like taking risks like stealing bases or trying to move runners over with sacrifice […]
I recorded these videos back in 2013, but with the NFL offseason here and more and more questions coming my way I thought I would repost them over the next few weeks. This one goes over the basics of the CBA and the salary cap and runs about an hour. The second one, which Ill […]
[adsenseyu1] Here is the second installment of the Caponomics series. In this presentation we get into the components of a contract and the basics of calculating a salary cap number and dead money. Topics include signing bonus prorations, guaranteed salary, the minimum salary benefit and incentive valuations. This will probably be the longest of the […]
[adsenseyu1] Based on all the questions I typically get on the salary cap I thought about doing a series of presentations under the goofy “Caponomics 101” name, and here we have the first as a general overview of the cap. I have the youtube video embedded in the post but if someone prefers a downloadable […]
Over the three months following the end of Texas’ 2019 season, defensive lineman Jamari Chisholm prepared himself for his April 1st Texas Pro Day with Texas’ Strength and Conditioning Staff. Of course, with the Coronavirus pandemic, the last few weeks of training and the Pro Day was cancelled, but we were able to get Jamari […]
After that first down catch on 2nd and 15 by Tyreek Hill was reversed, the 49ers had a 96.1% chance of victory with just 7:17 left in the fourth quarter. The ensuing 44-yard catch by Hill on 3rd and 15 increased KC’s probability of victory by 13.2% to 17.1%. If that play didn’t happen, everyone […]
Over the course of the 2018 and 2019 seasons, kickers combined to make 94.1% of extra point attempts, meaning the Expected Points Added (EPA) for that play is 0.941. During those same two seasons, the NFL’s two-point conversion rate was 49.4%, which is an EPA of 0.988. With that data, we now know that two-point […]