Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions. The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016. A pay cut is treated as […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
I started writing these on Friday night to start preparing for the offseason and I thought you guys would enjoy some of the comparisons. Coming within the next day or two will be the NFC Championship team notes and then further explanations of the data will be coming moving forward. Let me know if you have […]
In this weeks free agency feature we will take a look at the available defensive tackles in 2016. The group doesn’t have the big standout names or three down players, but is filled with a number of veterans making the turn to 30 who likely can provide some good value if a team finds the […]
Quarterbacks | Running Backs Wide Receivers | Tight Ends Offensive Lineman | Pass Rushers Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Ndamukong Suh $114,360,000 $78,091,830 68% $13,015,305 Jared Odrick $42,500,000 $28,798,000 68% $5,759,600 Dan Williams $25,000,000 $19,437,150 78% $4,859,287 Stephen Paea $21,000,000 $15,142,450 72% $3,785612 Kendall Langford $17,200,000 $9,289,800 54% $2,322,450 Corey Peters $9,000,000 $6,687,000 […]
Rather than update the long posts from last week, I will just link to those previous posts and then list the contracts for which we obtained details over the past week. The pace of signings has clearly slowed significantly, and there are not many noteworthy free agents who remain unsigned. I am not going to […]
Teams have until Tuesday to bring their rosters down to 75 players and a few teams have already made many of their decisions and begun the process of releasing players. Most of the moves that occur are not noteworthy but there are always a few surprising cuts to go along with some bad injury news […]