The free agency period is long over and we now have a few games worth of results to assess how recent signees are performing compared to their compensation. The question I’m trying to answer with this research is: “Is Team A getting the proper value out of its contract with Player B?” I’ll revisit this […]
As in any year, many Wide Receivers signed deals this off-season. Whether it’s a big-name or middle-class player singing a big contract, or an average player inking an average deal, not everyone has been playing to the value for which they signed. That can go two ways. Some players have over-performed while others have under-performed. […]
We wrap up our look at the AFC North today with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Starting tomorrow or Saturday will be the AFC South, which we will kick off with the Texans. Best: Antonio Brown, 5 years, $41.9 million, $8.5M guaranteed I was a bit conflicted with this choice because if you go back to 2012 […]
Defensive Backs | Front Seven | Offensive Lineman The chart below compares the Expected Contract Value with the stated contract value for each contract of $10 million or more signed during the 2016 offseason. Expected Contract Value 1.1 is applied at the time of signing. Expected Contract Value 1.1 takes into account the nature and timing […]
Each offseason a number of the multi-year contracts signed by free agents the previous offseason are terminated. These contracts may be terminated for a variety of reasons: disappointing performance, injury, team salary cap situation, etc. These factors are, for the most part, unpredictable. However, we can use Expected Contract Value to identify contracts that are […]
I thought it might be a good idea to do a running thread where I just give some quick thoughts on the reported contracts. Obviously there is more to these deals than what we have so far, but this should at least cover initial reactions to the contracts. Feel free to chime in. Malik Jackson Signs […]
Adrian Peterson’s contract situation offers an interesting case of the tradeoff between contractual risk, potential for surplus value, and optionality. Even after Peterson’s 2016 salary becomes guaranteed and his roster bonus vests on the 3rd day of the league year, Peterson holds all of the contractual risk for 2017. This risk is coupled with a […]