The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
The NFL season is roughly a third way of the way over, and a number of teams are already in a highly undesirable situation for 2015. With roster movement and contract extensions mostly finished for the league year, let’s take a look at an updated version of Commitment Index. As a reminder, Commitment Index measures […]
Due to the fact that rosters will remain mostly static between now and the preseason, I thought that this would be a good time to provide an update as to the status of the players for whom we provided a 2015 expected outcome earlier in the offseason. As a reminder, we ran the Expected Contract […]
This is a first draft of one of the 25 or so theories from the “Caponomics Theories” section of my upcoming book Caponomics: Understanding NFL Roster Building through Super Bowl Champion Salary Cap Analysis. Any of the references to other chapters in this article are E-mail me at Caponomics@gmail.com if you’re interested in staying updated when preview […]
This will be more of a discussion of what the teams did positionally, rather than a debate on the player himself. We don’t know why certain teams drafted certain players because we don’t have all of that information available to us, but we can see what needs and positions teams should address.I’m going to take […]
Check the First Half of the Mock Draft here! San Diego Chargers (9-7) No. of selections: 6 Draft picks: Round 1 (17), Round 2 (48), Round 3 (83), Round 4 (117), Round 5 (153), Round 6 (192)The Chargers have a few needs to address after another near .500 season. The Chargers are in like a circle of […]
Quarterbacks | Running Backs Wide Receivers | Tight Ends Offensive Lineman Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Jerry Hughes $45,000,000 $33,972,600 75% $6,794,520 Pernell McPhee $38,750,000 $24,321,650 63% $4,864,330 Derrick Morgan $27,000,000 $19,205,500 71% $4,801,375 Brandon Graham $26,000,000 $18,135,000 70% $4,533,750 Brian Orakpo $31,000,000 $17,570,250 57% $4,392,562 Brooks Reed $22,500,000 $14,960,200 66% $2,992,040 Michael […]