Adrian Peterson’s contract situation offers an interesting case of the tradeoff between contractual risk, potential for surplus value, and optionality. Even after Peterson’s 2016 salary becomes guaranteed and his roster bonus vests on the 3rd day of the league year, Peterson holds all of the contractual risk for 2017. This risk is coupled with a […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Josh McCown $14,000,000 $7,290,125 52% $2,430,041 Mark Sanchez $9,000,000 $7,092,500 79% $3,546,250 Brian Hoyer $10,500,000 $6,758,000 64% $3,379,000 Ryan Mallett $7,000,000 $4,795,000 69% $2,397,500 Shaun Hill $6,500,000 $3,504,550 54% $1,752,275 Blaine Gabbert $4,000,000 $2,939,500 73% $1,469,750 QB Total: 63.5% Global Total (122 Free Agents): 67.5% […]
I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Quarterbacks: Josh McCown Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 — 89.2% […]
Updates January 19 (11:39 AM ET): The projections have been altered to include CJ Wilson (originally missed as a qualifying player), and to change a cutoff point between the 5th round and 6th round. Subtracted information has been struck out and updated information bolded. February 4: Added UFAs originally missed that were signed between April […]
Estimated 2015 Cap Space: -$125,000 ($140M cap limit) Roster Overview Players Under Contract: 56 Pro Bowlers: 2 Unrestricted Free Agents: 8(4 with 50%+ playtime) Draft Selection: 10 Salary Cap Breakdown Free Agents to Re-sign Right tackle Joe Barksdale has been a good find for the Rams and should help hold down an important position for […]
[adsenseyu1] St. Louis Rams Key Additions: Shaun Hill ($1.8M per year), Alex Carrington ($1.5M), Kenny Britt ($1.4M) Key Re-Signings: Rodger Saffold ($6.3M per year), Jo-Lonn Dunbar ($1M) Key Losses: Chris Williams (Bills),Shelley Smith (Dolphins),Kellen Clemens (Chargers) Major Cuts: Cortland Finnegan ($4M cap savings), Harvey Dahl ($4M) Free Agency Thoughts: A relatively quiet offseason for the […]