The Russell Okung contract figures came out today and there have been primarily negative opinions on the contract he signed with the Denver Broncos. For those unaware Okung acted as his own agent and represented himself in these negotiations. That decision immediately put many people tied to the agent community in a position where anything […]
Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions. The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016. A pay cut is treated as […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
Here are the notes for the NFC Championship to go along with the AFC Championship notes that you can find here. As I said there, these are just some initial notes looking at their caps and more thorough analysis will be coming on this week’s podcast, which will be coming tomorrow or Friday.
In an introductory article, I explained the concept of texture to try to gain a better understanding on how an NFL roster is built. With this article, I will take a look at the texture of all 32 teams from 2014 so we can see some real life examples of what I have in mind. […]
Due to the fact that rosters will remain mostly static between now and the preseason, I thought that this would be a good time to provide an update as to the status of the players for whom we provided a 2015 expected outcome earlier in the offseason. As a reminder, we ran the Expected Contract […]
I’ll be updating this tonight with some brief thoughts on the picks being made in the draft. The estimates are based on the NFL freezing the draft pool again so the contract number may be slighty low if the NFL follows the actual rules in the CBA. Feel free to leave comments during the draft. […]