2016 Cap Analytics: New England Patriots

Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions.   The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016.  A pay cut is treated as […]

Patriots Win Super Bowls with Cheap Offensive Lines

Tonight, everyone on Thursday Night Football is mentioning how young and inexperienced this Patriots offensive line is, but this is nothing new in New England as they have always had young, inexperienced and inexpensive offensive lines. As Deion Sanders and others have mentioned tonight, Tom Brady gets the ball off very quickly. These two things […]

Patriots Release Brandon Spikes

Following an incident over the weekend in which Spikes vehicle was found abandoned the Patriots quickly released the linebacker just a few weeks after signing him to a $1.1 million contract. The Patriots had some reservations about bringing Spikes back which was shown in their contract offer that contained just $25,000 in guaranteed money. Despite […]

Excerpt from Caponomics and The Mastery of the Patriots and Ravens

What follows is a first draft that I wrote today of an excerpt from the theories section of #Caponomics: Understanding NFL Roster Building through Super Bowl Champion Salary Cap Analysis. After posting this other excerpt, I realized I had to rethink how I approached the section as much of what I would be writing in […]