Was reading some things on Twitter today and I got to thinking about how this may be a more unique free agent period than anything we have seen before for a few reasons. Why is it unique? A few reasons. For one we have unprecedented levels of cap space with two teams likely nearing $100M […]
With the Pro Bowl rosters now finalized I’ll do our annual financial assessment of the rosters. While the Pro Bowl is certainly not the best measure of who are the best players in the NFL it can at least help us look at some trends among those who receive votes. The average annual salary of […]
I thought it might be fun during the draft to put up our contract estimates for each player but to also show where they should rank by contract annual value. While we all expect a lot from our draft picks and anyone who is not a star is generally considered a bust, in reality we […]
Adrian Peterson’s contract situation offers an interesting case of the tradeoff between contractual risk, potential for surplus value, and optionality. Even after Peterson’s 2016 salary becomes guaranteed and his roster bonus vests on the 3rd day of the league year, Peterson holds all of the contractual risk for 2017. This risk is coupled with a […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
Due to the fact that rosters will remain mostly static between now and the preseason, I thought that this would be a good time to provide an update as to the status of the players for whom we provided a 2015 expected outcome earlier in the offseason. As a reminder, we ran the Expected Contract […]
This will be more of a discussion of what the teams did positionally, rather than a debate on the player himself. We don’t know why certain teams drafted certain players because we don’t have all of that information available to us, but we can see what needs and positions teams should address.I’m going to take […]