Last week I went 9-5-1 SU and 9-5-1 ATS. Sadly I split on Thursday when ideally I wanted to lose on both choices and see the Jets win outright. The yearly record now stands at 62-29-1 and 54-35-3. Onto week 7….
COLTS (-3) over Bengals– The Colts are on a roll right now and clicking in almost every phase of the game while the Bengals have struggled on defense the last two weeks. The Bengals need to right the ship but this is not the team to do it against. Colts 34 Bengals 27
Titans (+5.5) over REDSKINS– Everyone know I don’t think much of Tennessee so this pick shows how little I think of the Redskins. Washington will make enough mistakes to keep the game with 5 points, though I would be surprised if they lost the game outright. Redskins 23 Titans 19
Dolphins (+3) over BEARS– Miami comes off a heartbreaker loss and this has the makings of another close one that I think they will lose. Should be a good game with the Dolphins defense doing enough to stay in the game, despite being on the road. Bears 24 Dolphins 23
Browns (-5.5) over JAGUARS– Unless the Browns have a letdown game I cant see any way the Jaguars compete. Jacksonville is one of the three worst teams in the NFL and outside of the young QB may not have any bright spot on their roster. Browns 34 Jaguars 13
Seahawks (-6) over RAMS– While the Seahawks have not looked great every week and may be a bit distracted by the Percy Harvin trade, the Rams defense is so bad that it’s the perfect cure. I’d venture that the talking point after this game is how great the Seahawks are now that Harvin is out of the locker room. Seahawks 34 Rams 17
PACKERS (-6.5) over Panthers– A few weeks ago I would have just passed this game off as a blowout, but Cam Newton has been so much better that I’m excited to see how it plays out. I think this will be close with the Packers pulling it out at the end. Packers 31 Panthers 24
RAVENS (-6.5) over Falcons– Atlanta really needs this game after last weeks dud against the Bears, but this is such a bad opponent for them. The Ravens are playing extremely well and are always a toug team at home. Ravens 34 Falcons 17
Vikings (+5) over Bills– If there is a snoozefest of the week it will probably be this game. Neither team can do much offensively so the game likely comes down to what team makes a defensive play or special teams play. Buffalo’s defense is the one I would expect to do just that, but not enough times to cover the points. Bills 17 Vikings 13
LIONS (-1.5) over Saints– Im amazed at the turnaround of the Lions defense and I fully expect them to shut down what is a very over rated Saints offense. I don’t know if the Lions offense can score that much but they don’t need to even against the Saints. Lions 23 Saints 16
CHARGERS (-3.5) over Chiefs– Chargers were not great against the Raiders, but did make the plays they needed at the end of the game to avoid the upset loss. Chiefs have had the extra week to prepare but its not a great matchup for them and I cant take Alex Smith over Phillip Rivers. Chargers 23 Chiefs 17
Giants (+6.5) over COWBOYS– I whiffed badly on New York last week, but I can’t imagine they will be that bad two weeks in a row. Dallas looks like the better team but Im not sure if they are really a full touchdown better. Cowboys 26 Giants 21
Cardinals (-3.5) over RAIDERS– If the Raiders have a hangover from last weeks close loss to their division rivals then this could get ugly. Cardinals 27 Raiders 13
49ers (+7) over BRONCOS- This should be a good Sunday Night game. Both teams have good defenses and both have effective offenses. Id be a little worried about this pick if the Broncos get out to a fast start, but as long as the Niners can play at their tempo this should be close. Broncos 24 49ers 21
Texans (+3) over STEELERS– Not sure anyone is getting excited about this game. Pittsburgh continues to disappoint and there is no real reason to assume they will win this game. Texans 23 Steelers 17
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.