As I continue my study into contract fate in the NFL (as described here), before the 2023 season begins I thought I’d take a look as to some veteran players whose play in 2023 should be seen with an eye as to whether that season could be their last under their current contracts. This resulting in generating a list of players that met the following criteria:
That list of 104 players can be found at the end of this article. Before that, here are some highlights that stood out to me:
Name | Team | Age | Pos. | Contract Length | Seasons Completed After 2023 |
2024 Cash Due | Odds Of Negative Contract Fate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Whitehair | Bears | 32 | LG | 5 | 4 | $10,250,000 | 87.5% |
Mike Hilton | Bengals | 30 | CB | 4 | 3 | $6,450,000 | 86.8% |
Nick Chubb | Browns | 29 | RB | 3 | 2 | $12,200,000 | 86.1% |
James Conner | Cardinals | 29 | RB | 3 | 2 | $5,490,000 | 86.1% |
Alvin Kamara | Saints | 29 | RB | 5 | 3 | $11,800,000 | 83.3% |
Brandon Scherff | Jaguars | 33 | RG | 3 | 2 | $16,500,000 | 80.0% |
James Daniels | Steelers | 27 | RG | 3 | 2 | $8,250,000 | 80.0% |
Austin Corbett | Panthers | 29 | RG | 3 | 2 | $6,250,000 | 80.0% |
Mark Glowinski | Giants | 32 | RG | 3 | 2 | $5,700,000 | 80.0% |
Keenan Allen | Chargers | 32 | WR | 4 | 3 | $23,100,000 | 79.5% |
Foyesade Oluokun | Jaguars | 29 | LB | 3 | 2 | $15,000,000 | 78.1% |
Demario Davis | Saints | 35 | LB | 3 | 2 | $12,000,000 | 78.1% |
Jerome Baker | Dolphins | 28 | LB | 3 | 2 | $11,133,000 | 78.1% |
DeAndre Hopkins | Titans | 32 | WR | 2 | 1 | $14,000,000 | 76.0% |
Hunter Renfrow | Raiders | 29 | WR | 2 | 1 | $11,882,000 | 76.0% |
Diontae Johnson | Steelers | 28 | WR | 2 | 1 | $10,000,000 | 76.0% |
Russell Gage | Buccaneers | 28 | WR | 2 | 1 | $10,000,000 | 76.0% |
Allen Robinson | Steelers | 31 | WR | 2 | 1 | $10,000,000 | 76.0% |
Brandin Cooks | Cowboys | 31 | WR | 2 | 1 | $8,000,000 | 76.0% |
Robert Woods | Texans | 32 | WR | 2 | 1 | $6,500,000 | 76.0% |
Darius Slayton | Giants | 27 | WR | 2 | 1 | $6,000,000 | 76.0% |
Joe Thuney | Chiefs | 32 | LG | 5 | 3 | $16,000,000 | 75.0% |
Quandre Diggs | Seahawks | 31 | S | 3 | 2 | $11,000,000 | 75.0% |
Justin Reid | Chiefs | 27 | S | 3 | 2 | $10,750,000 | 75.0% |
Tyrann Mathieu | Saints | 32 | S | 3 | 2 | $9,000,000 | 75.0% |
Tracy Walker | Lions | 29 | S | 3 | 2 | $8,000,000 | 75.0% |
Marcus Maye | Saints | 31 | S | 3 | 2 | $7,500,000 | 75.0% |
Xavier Woods | Panthers | 29 | S | 3 | 2 | $4,500,000 | 75.0% |
Justin Simmons | Broncos | 31 | S | 4 | 3 | $14,500,000 | 74.4% |
Eddie Jackson | Bears | 31 | S | 4 | 3 | $14,150,000 | 74.4% |
Rayshawn Jenkins | Jaguars | 30 | S | 4 | 3 | $9,000,000 | 74.4% |
Chandler Jones | Raiders | 34 | EDGE | 3 | 2 | $17,000,000 | 72.3% |
Josh Sweat | Eagles | 27 | EDGE | 3 | 2 | $16,000,000 | 72.3% |
Haason Reddick | Eagles | 30 | EDGE | 3 | 2 | $15,000,000 | 72.3% |
Demarcus Lawrence | Cowboys | 32 | EDGE | 3 | 2 | $10,000,000 | 72.3% |
Mike Williams | Chargers | 30 | WR | 3 | 2 | $20,000,000 | 71.2% |
Chris Godwin | Buccaneers | 28 | WR | 3 | 2 | $20,000,000 | 71.2% |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling | Chiefs | 30 | WR | 3 | 2 | $12,000,000 | 71.2% |
Tim Patrick | Broncos | 31 | WR | 3 | 2 | $10,000,000 | 71.2% |
Zay Jones | Jaguars | 29 | WR | 3 | 2 | $8,000,000 | 71.2% |
Cedrick Wilson Jr. | Dolphins | 29 | WR | 3 | 2 | $7,300,000 | 71.2% |
Amari Cooper | Browns | 30 | WR | 5 | 4 | $20,000,000 | 71.1% |
Zach Ertz | Cardinals | 34 | TE | 3 | 2 | $10,050,000 | 70.5% |
C.J. Uzomah | Jets | 31 | TE | 3 | 2 | $8,000,000 | 70.5% |
Will Dissly | Seahawks | 28 | TE | 3 | 2 | $7,000,000 | 70.5% |
Tyler Conklin | Jets | 29 | TE | 3 | 2 | $6,750,000 | 70.5% |
Logan Thomas | Commanders | 33 | TE | 3 | 2 | $6,565,000 | 70.5% |
Mo Alie-Cox | Colts | 31 | TE | 3 | 2 | $5,920,000 | 70.5% |
Carlton Davis | Buccaneers | 28 | CB | 3 | 2 | $14,500,000 | 68.8% |
Charvarius Ward | 49ers | 28 | CB | 3 | 2 | $13,000,000 | 68.8% |
D.J. Reed | Jets | 28 | CB | 3 | 2 | $11,000,000 | 68.8% |
Donte Jackson | Panthers | 29 | CB | 3 | 2 | $10,622,500 | 68.8% |
Darious Williams | Jaguars | 31 | CB | 3 | 2 | $10,000,000 | 68.8% |
Rasul Douglas | Packers | 30 | CB | 3 | 2 | $9,000,000 | 68.8% |
Taron Johnson | Bills | 28 | CB | 3 | 2 | $7,697,333 | 68.8% |
Avonte Maddox | Eagles | 28 | CB | 3 | 2 | $7,500,000 | 68.8% |
Will Hernandez | Cardinals | 29 | RG | 2 | 1 | $4,075,000 | 68.6% |
Nate Herbig | Steelers | 26 | RG | 2 | 1 | $4,000,000 | 68.6% |
Christian McCaffrey | 49ers | 28 | RB | 4 | 2 | $12,000,000 | 68.2% |
David Bakhtiari | Packers | 33 | LT | 4 | 3 | $21,500,000 | 66.7% |
Garett Bolles | Broncos | 32 | LT | 4 | 3 | $16,000,000 | 66.7% |
Taylor Decker | Lions | 31 | LT | 4 | 3 | $13,700,000 | 66.7% |
Dion Dawkins | Bills | 30 | LT | 4 | 3 | $10,300,000 | 66.7% |
David Njoku | Browns | 28 | TE | 4 | 2 | $14,500,000 | 65.0% |
Dallas Goedert | Eagles | 29 | TE | 4 | 2 | $14,250,000 | 65.0% |
Travis Kelce | Chiefs | 35 | TE | 4 | 2 | $13,000,000 | 65.0% |
Mark Andrews | Ravens | 29 | TE | 4 | 2 | $11,000,000 | 65.0% |
Taysom Hill | Saints | 34 | TE | 4 | 2 | $10,000,000 | 65.0% |
DeForest Buckner | Colts | 30 | IDL | 4 | 3 | $20,250,000 | 63.6% |
Kenny Clark | Packers | 29 | IDL | 4 | 3 | $17,000,000 | 63.6% |
Cameron Heyward | Steelers | 35 | IDL | 4 | 3 | $16,000,000 | 63.6% |
Ryan Kelly | Colts | 31 | C | 4 | 3 | $12,375,000 | 63.6% |
Davon Godchaux | Patriots | 30 | IDL | 2 | 1 | $8,300,000 | 63.6% |
Bryan Mone | Seahawks | 29 | IDL | 2 | 1 | $5,900,000 | 63.6% |
David Andrews | Patriots | 32 | C | 4 | 3 | $5,500,000 | 63.6% |
John Cominsky | Lions | 29 | IDL | 2 | 1 | $5,000,000 | 63.6% |
Jarran Reed | Seahawks | 32 | IDL | 2 | 1 | $4,470,000 | 63.6% |
Dean Lowry | Vikings | 30 | IDL | 2 | 1 | $4,000,000 | 63.6% |
Aaron Donald | Rams | 33 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $35,000,000 | 63.4% |
D.J. Jones | Broncos | 29 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $10,000,000 | 63.4% |
Jonathan Jones | Patriots | 31 | CB | 2 | 1 | $9,000,000 | 63.4% |
Byron Murphy | Vikings | 26 | CB | 2 | 1 | $8,850,000 | 63.4% |
Folorunso Fatukasi | Jaguars | 29 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $8,000,000 | 63.4% |
B.J. Hill | Bengals | 29 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $7,500,000 | 63.4% |
Sebastian Joseph-Day | Chargers | 29 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $7,500,000 | 63.4% |
Patrick Peterson | Steelers | 34 | CB | 2 | 1 | $6,850,000 | 63.4% |
Harrison Phillips | Vikings | 28 | IDL | 3 | 2 | $6,500,000 | 63.4% |
Taylor Moton | Panthers | 30 | RT | 5 | 3 | $17,500,000 | 63.2% |
Shaquil Barrett | Buccaneers | 32 | EDGE | 4 | 3 | $17,000,000 | 62.5% |
Matt Judon | Patriots | 32 | EDGE | 4 | 3 | $10,500,000 | 62.5% |
Tyus Bowser | Ravens | 29 | EDGE | 4 | 3 | $5,500,000 | 62.5% |
Deatrich Wise | Patriots | 30 | EDGE | 4 | 3 | $5,000,000 | 62.5% |
Jonnu Smith | Falcons | 29 | TE | 2 | 1 | $6,500,000 | 62.2% |
Tyler Lockett | Seahawks | 32 | WR | 4 | 2 | $17,000,000 | 61.5% |
Christian Kirk | Jaguars | 28 | WR | 4 | 2 | $16,500,000 | 61.5% |
Courtland Sutton | Broncos | 29 | WR | 4 | 2 | $13,500,000 | 61.5% |
Patrick Ricard | Ravens | 30 | FB | 3 | 2 | $4,000,000 | 61.5% |
Laken Tomlinson | Jets | 32 | LG | 3 | 2 | $13,000,000 | 60.9% |
Ryan Jensen | Buccaneers | 33 | C | 3 | 2 | $12,500,000 | 60.9% |
Ted Karras | Bengals | 31 | C | 3 | 2 | $6,400,000 | 60.9% |
Mason Cole | Steelers | 28 | C | 3 | 2 | $4,750,000 | 60.9% |
Arik Armstead | 49ers | 31 | IDL | 5 | 4 | $18,260,000 | 60.7% |
Mitch Morse | Bills | 32 | C | 2 | 1 | $8,500,000 | 60.0% |
Brian Allen | Rams | 29 | C | 2 | 1 | $7,000,000 | 60.0% |
Connor McGovern | Bills | 27 | RG | 3 | 1 | $5,900,000 | 60.0% |
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