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Fictional Trade Deadline Tender – 2021 Season

At this time last season, I offered up a modest proposal to try to nudge more activity around the trade deadline. With this season’s trade deadline approaching, I thought I’d revisit this exercise, and call this hypothetical rule change the Fictional Trade Deadline Tender.

To review, here are its rules. First, it is determined which players are eligible to be offered a Fictional Trade Deadline Tender:

  1. The player must be on a team that has either zero or one wins by the trade deadline. (The idea here is that with a minimum of six losses plus ties, even with an expanded playoff slate it would still be daunting to come back from that hole.)
  2. The player’s contract must be set to expire at the conclusion of this season.
  3. The player must be on a vested veteran contract. (That’s defined here as having at least four accrued seasons before the current season started, and also not on a rookie contract.)
  4. The player additionally may not be on a one year contract resulting from being given a franchise or transition tender. (The idea here is that we are giving teams the benefit of the doubt that they are using these tenders in a good faith effort to later extend them.)

Among those players, the following procedure would then take place:

  1. In the 24 hours after the trade deadline ends (this year, Tuesday, November 2 at 4 PM ET), any team may tender any amount of draft pick compensation it is willing to surrender to a team in exchange for the player it would like to acquire.
  2. After this 24 hour period ends (this year, Wednesday, November 3 at 4 PM ET), the NFL notifies all teams and players in question who has been given a Fictional Trade Deadline Tender offer. If multiple tenders are offered for the same player, the tender with the higher draft compensation wins out, and compensation ties will be broken by the standard waiver order.
  3. For the next 48 hours (this year, ending on Friday, November 5 at 4 PM ET), the player decides whether or not to accept the offer. If so desired, the player and team may renegotiate their contract to avoid the trade, and they may also be granted an exemption from the trade deadline to trade the player to a different team for different compensation, should both sides agree upon it.

The list of players on the right (or below on small mobile devices) are the players that would be eligible for the Fictional Trade Deadline Tender in 2021. This season, the teams that could see some of their players end up on this list are the Lions, Dolphins, Texans, Jets, and Jaguars. The players on the Lions will be there no matter what, while the players on the other teams will remain should they lose in Week 8.

Take a look at the list, and have some fun thinking about which of these players could be good fits on other teams.

Name Team Pos. Age Snaps Remaining Salary
Alex Anzalone DET LB 27 99.1% $972,222
Andrew Norwell JAX LG 30 98.5% $5,000,000
Christian Kirksey HOU LB 29 98.1% $1,388,889
Morgan Moses NYJ RT 30 87.2% $888,889
Justin Britt HOU C 30 82.4% $1,500,000
Damien Wilson JAX LB 28 76.8% $638,889
Chris Conley HOU WR 29 69.1% $694,444
Desmond King HOU CB 27 69.1% $1,388,889
Kamu Grugier-Hill HOU LB 27 65.9% $833,333
Charles Harris DET EDGE 26 64.1% $777,778
Emmanuel Ogbah MIA EDGE 28 63.4% $4,152,778
Nicholas Williams DET IDL 31 62.5% $833,333
Maliek Collins HOU IDL 26 58.5% $1,666,667
Jason McCourty MIA S 34 57.3% $597,222
Jacoby Brissett MIA QB 29 55.9% $1,388,889
Vernon Hargreaves HOU CB 26 54.9% $722,222
Elandon Roberts MIA LB 27 54.5% $744,444
A.J. Cann JAX RG 30 50.9% $2,736,111
Jihad Ward JAX EDGE 27 49.8% $1,083,333
Tyler Kroft NYJ TE 29 44.7% $972,222
David Johnson HOU RB 30 43.9% $1,111,111
Jalen Reeves-Maybin DET LB 26 43.6% $1,244,444
Adam Gotsis JAX EDGE 29 43.1% $550,000
DeMarcus Walker HOU IDL 27 38.9% $666,667
Justin Coleman MIA CB 28 38.4% $833,333
Greg Mancz MIA C 29 38.3% $550,000
Mark Ingram HOU RB 32 38.1% $1,111,111
Mack Hollins MIA WR 28 37% $550,000
Keelan Cole NYJ WR 28 36.4% $1,388,889
Adrian Colbert NYJ S 28 35.7% $550,000
John Jenkins MIA IDL 32 33.4% $645,833
Jamison Crowder NYJ WR 28 33.2% $3,055,556
Darren Fells DET TE 35 32.1% $597,222
Sharrod Neasman NYJ S 30 31.8% $550,000
Antony Auclair HOU TE 28 30.4% $550,000
Jon Weeks HOU LS 35 30.4% $597,222
Malcolm Brown MIA RB 28 28% $861,111
Jaleel Johnson HOU IDL 27 27.9% $550,000
Albert Wilson MIA WR 29 27.4% $1,625,000
Dean Marlowe DET S 29 27.3% $550,000
Brennan Scarlett MIA LB 28 25.8% $550,000
Tyrod Taylor HOU QB 32 24.1% $1,666,667
Chris Moore HOU WR 28 23.4% $550,000
Michael Palardy MIA P 29 23.1% $555,556
Nevin Lawson JAX CB 30 22.4% $708,333
Tavon Austin JAX WR 31 21% $597,222
Tyler Shatley JAX C 30 20.7% $1,034,722
Thomas Morstead NYJ P 35 19.9% $597,222
Jacob Hollister JAX TE 28 19.7% $550,000
Austin Reiter MIA C 30 15.9% $550,000
James O’Shaughnessy JAX TE 29 15.9% $806,944
Will Fuller MIA WR 27 14.1% $550,000
Danny Amendola HOU WR 36 12.3% $833,333
Tevin Coleman NYJ RB 28 10.7% $555,556
Rex Burkhead HOU RB 31 9.5% $763,889
Geronimo Allison DET WR 27 9.3% $550,000
Terrence Brooks HOU CB 29 9.1% $833,333
Daryl Worley DET CB 26 8.4% $550,000
Tyrell Williams DET WR 29 8.1% $1,111,111
Lerentee McCray JAX EDGE 31 5.7% $550,000
Vincent Taylor HOU IDL 27 5.6% $694,444
Duke Riley MIA LB 27 3.8% $550,000
Daniel Brown NYJ TE 29 2.7% $550,000
Neville Hewitt HOU LB 28 2.2% $833,333
Lamarcus Joyner NYJ S 31 2% $1,111,111
Jeff Driskel HOU QB 28 0% $550,000
Conor McDermott NYJ RG 29 0% $611,111
Dan Feeney NYJ LG 27 0% $1,111,111
Jarrad Davis NYJ LB 27 0% $1,666,667
Alex Lewis NYJ LG 29 0% $1,944,444
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