With Week 1 fully in the books, of which includes snap counts in 2017, it’s a good opportunity to take an update on where OTC’s projection of the 2018 compensatory picks stand.
Team | Round | Compensated Free Agent | APY |
---|---|---|---|
WAS | 3 | Kirk Cousins | $28,000,000 |
MIN | 3 | Case Keenum | $18,000,000 |
NE | 3 | Nate Solder | $15,400,000 |
LAR | 3 | Sammy Watkins | $15,830,000 |
CAR | 3 | Andrew Norwell | $13,000,000 |
LAR | 3 | Trumaine Johnson | $14,500,000 |
NE | 3 | Malcolm Butler | $12,170,000 |
BAL | 3 | Ryan Jensen | $10,500,000 |
NYG | 4 | Justin Pugh | $9,005,000 |
IND | 4 | Donte Moncrief | $9,600,000 |
PHI | 4 | Trey Burton | $7,925,000 |
ATL | 4 | Dontari Poe | $8,533,333 |
WAS | 5 | Spencer Long | $6,850,000 |
ATL | 5 | Taylor Gabriel | $6,500,000 |
WAS | 6 | Ryan Grant | $5,000,000 |
NE | 6 | Dion Lewis | $4,950,000 |
PHI | 6 | Patrick Robinson | $4,925,000 |
PHI | 6 | Beau Allen | $5,000,000 |
MIN | 6 | Teddy Bridgewater | $5,500,000 |
WAS | 6 | Terrelle Pryor | $4,500,000 |
CIN | 6 | Andre Smith | $4,000,000 |
CIN | 6 | Chris Smith | $3,900,000 |
SF | 6 | Aaron Lynch | $3,950,000 |
KC | 6 | Terrance Mitchell | $3,233,333 |
CIN | 6 | AJ McCarron | $3,950,000 |
ARI | 7 | Jaron Brown | $2,750,000 |
ARI | 7 | Drew Stanton | $3,150,000 |
MIN | 7 | Tramaine Brock | $3,000,000 |
MIN | 7 | Shamar Stephen | $2,100,000 |
NE | 7 | Cameron Fleming | $2,500,000 |
LAR | 7 | Cody Davis | $2,500,000 |
ARI | 7 | Blaine Gabbert | $2,000,000 |
Compensation over 32-pick limit; not awarded | |||
ARI | 7 | Matt Barkley | $1,400,000 |
LAR | 7 | Derek Carrier | $1,275,000 |
SF | 7 | Leon Hall | $1,060,000 |
SF | 7 | Dontae Johnson | $1,060,000 |
IND | 7 | Frank Gore | $1,105,000 |
SF | 7 | Tank Carradine | $1,150,000 |
BAL | 7 | Mike Wallace | $915,000 |
DAL | 7 | net value |
Quite a few compensatory free agents (CFA) did not ultimately make their new teams’ rosters upon the cutdown to 53 players. Here are the cuts that created relevant changes to the list of projected 2019 comp picks:
There was a lot of activity on both sides of Dallas’s ledger. Both Jonathan Cooper and Brice Butler failed to make the rosters of San Francisco and Arizona. The Cowboys offset one of these losses by cutting Kony Ealy. However, it was not enough to avoid staying positive in the difference between CFAs lost and gained–now at two apiece. This means that Dallas’s potential 4th rounder for Anthony Hitchens has been demoted to a net value 7th that would have no reasonable chance of being within the 32 pick limit.
It appeared that Dallas was going to rectify this by initially cutting Deonte Thompson as part of cutdown to 53. Instead, they brought him back two days later in an effort to circumvent waiver rules. But Cowboys fans should keep an eye on Thompson’s production over the next two months. If it is not good, Dallas may be better suited to let him go before Week 10 so they can regain the 4th rounder for Hitchens. A similar argument could be made for backup tackle Cameron Fleming, depending on whether the team’s depth on the offensive line can improve.
With some snap counts recorded, there has also been some shuffling in the order of the comp picks. There was only one change in round that have resulted: Baltimore got their comp pick for Ryan Jensen upgraded from a 4th to a 3rd. But this, and other picks, are subject to change if players get injured or otherwise miss playing time.
Also important is the final piece of the puzzle that’s unknown for the projection: the number of leaguewide players qualifying for the formula that compensatory free agents will be judged against. Currently, that number is at 1918, but it will steadily go up during the regular season, as players are cut or placed on reserve lists, with new players signed to replace them. As this happens, some CFAs that are qualifying now may not ultimately qualify. Here are the relevant cases of that to watch:
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