Thoughts on Wilkersons new contract

I’m as stunned as anyone today that Muhammad Wilkerson signed an extension with the Jets. Of all the franchise players I felt he was the least likely of all to sign a new contract. After all these negotiations began over two years ago when John Idzik was the GM and it was hard to imagine after all that time a last ditch offer getting it done but somehow it did. We don’t have any firm numbers on the Wilkerson deal yet besides a report of a $15 million signing bonus and $37M two year total, but as a Jets fan I wanted to write about the contract anyway even with limited info. Continue reading Thoughts on Wilkersons new contract »

Rookies Need to Demand no Franchise Tag Designations

I was reading an article the other day over at PFT about Von Miller threatening to sit out the year rather than play on the franchise tag. While I have my own opinions on that scenario it did get me thinking again about the franchise tag and something Bryce and I had discussed off the cuff on a podcast a few weeks back (I touched on it this week too on the podcast). While we can all argue about the merits of the tag I think we all agree that it severely limits player movement. The tag backs star players into a corner because of health and age concerns and in turn that drives prices down across the NFL. Teams go wild in free agency for second tier players because the first tier is almost never available. The CBA is years away from being re-opened but I think it is time for more agents to begin to do their parts in trying to fix the problem now and start digging in their heels on these rookie contracts rather than quickly signing for the sake of getting a deal done.  Continue reading Rookies Need to Demand no Franchise Tag Designations »

Thoughts on Fletcher Cox’ Contract Extension

After a year of contentious contract discussions, the Eagles and their new front office has ended any problems between the Eagles and Fletcher Cox by signing Cox to a massive $102.6 million contract extension that contains over $60 million in injury guarantees. Based on a report by Pro Football Talk we can look at the contract in a bit more critical manner to see just how it ranks in a few different metrics compared to those of the other big defensive players. Continue reading Thoughts on Fletcher Cox’ Contract Extension »

Thoughts on Harrison Smith’s New Contract

The full details of Harrison Smith’s extension hit the internet today which gives us the ability to better evaluate the contract. Smith’s $10.25 million new money average per year, $28.578 million injury guarantee, and $32.25 million three year value are all high points among safeties under long term contract. So what were the tradeoffs and how strong is the contract?  Let’s inspect further.

Continue reading Thoughts on Harrison Smith’s New Contract »

Negotiating Better Contracts for the NFL Player

I saw today on Twitter a comment about Rob Gronkowski possibly being unhappy with his contract and just yesterday Reshad Jones of the Dolphins said he may sit out the year if the team doesn’t rework his contract. I thought that this might make a good time to bring up some of the things that Bryce and I have recently discussed on the podcast and that Bryce goes a bit more into detail about in his look at the misguided use on APY to value a contract and how to better look at a contract.

When contract issues like this come out many hardcore fans and media members are quick to support the player in the possible hold out. Usually a justification is that teams don’t honor contracts so why should the player. The problem with that argument is that the teams are negotiating the right to not honor the contract and player’s agree to that stipulation. In reality by holding out the player is the one not honoring the agreement while the team is doing what it is allowed to do.  This is not the fault of the team, it’s not the fault of the union, its really the fault of the player’s agent who is negotiating the contract. Continue reading Negotiating Better Contracts for the NFL Player »

Allen Hurns Strikes $40 Million Contract

Its been officially announced everywhere by now, but PFT was the first to have the basic info that Allen Hurns signed a four year contract extension worth $40 million today. The $10 million annual per year vaue will tie him for 10th overall in the NFL in that contract metric with Randall Cobb of the Packers. Though we dont know the full breakdown of the deal I do feel safe saying that this is a huge contract for a player with just two years of experience who is regarded as the second wide receiver on the team. The Jaguars held a tremendous amount of leverage here because of the RFA tag and I think you can make a case that this may be the best deal signed by a player in that spot since Arian Foster. So here are some general thoughts on the deal and the impact of the contract. Continue reading Allen Hurns Strikes $40 Million Contract »

NFL QB Valuations, 32-21

This week we will be looking at the actual worth of quarterbacks in the NFL based on pure statistical production and the current market prices for quarterbacks. The formulas are based more or less on the net yardage produced by a player over the last three seasons with a weighting scale of 60% for 2015, 25% for 2014, and 15% for 2013. For players who only have two years of service the numbers were adjusted accordingly. I did not include players who were rookies last season. I did make adjustments for players who were injured to prorate their stats to a fuller season (in most cases 13 games) so as to not artificially lower their numbers.  Players benched were not awarded that same luxury since they were not productive because of skill concerns by the coaching staff.

Obviously lists like this are going to favor teams in heavy passing offenses where players can compile numbers and we are not taking into account things like wins, playoff experience, etc… that often goes into valuing a QB. Each players is given a salary value that fits in with his production and a benefit value which shows how much above or below his current annual contract value his production has been. Benefit values greatly favor rookies because they are paid peanuts and often start 16 games. They skew the numbers but I think their presence also illustrates the reasons why teams make the decision to move from a low tier veteran to a rookie when the opportunity presents itself.

Today we look at players ranked from number 32 to 21. Tomorrow will be 20-11 and the following day the top 10. Continue reading NFL QB Valuations, 32-21 »