As the NFL juggernaut steams toward the most exciting part of the season, General Managers are spending time formulating various virtual team roster models that stretch out as many as three years into the future, beginning with the 2017 league year. One of the important components of a roster model involves decisions revolving around unrestricted free agents. […]
Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions. The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016. A pay cut is treated as […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
Quarterbacks | Running Backs Wide Receivers | Tight Ends Offensive Lineman | Pass Rushers Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Ndamukong Suh $114,360,000 $78,091,830 68% $13,015,305 Jared Odrick $42,500,000 $28,798,000 68% $5,759,600 Dan Williams $25,000,000 $19,437,150 78% $4,859,287 Stephen Paea $21,000,000 $15,142,450 72% $3,785612 Kendall Langford $17,200,000 $9,289,800 54% $2,322,450 Corey Peters $9,000,000 $6,687,000 […]
I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Defensive Lineman: Ndamukong Suh Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 $15,000 […]
[adsenseyu1] Estimated 2015 Cap Space: $21.9 million ($140M cap limit)Roster Overview Players Under Contract: 53 Pro Bowlers: 2 Unrestricted Free Agents: 19(4 with 50%+ playtime) Draft Selection: 8 Salary Cap Breakdown Free Agents to Re-sign There is no need for the Falcons to look for another kicker regardless of Matt Bryant’s age. Bryant is still […]
[adsenseyu1] Yet another day of action as the NFL prepares for free agency… At the top of our list today is the Pittsburgh Steelers who took a large step forward in being cap compliant in 2014. We had discussed Heath Miller briefly yesterday but today we became aware of the particulars of his contract extension […]