Welcome to our NFL Draft Selection Tracker. We are currently updated through the results of the 4PM games in week 12. Hopefully this tracker will give you a better idea for your mock drafting or fan discussions as it reflects the overall SOS rather than the SOS at this moment in time.
The draft order for the first 20 selections is determined by win/loss record with ties being broken by strength of schedule. Most draft charts will only use the current SOS, but for this chart we use the SOS projections for a teams’ entire schedule since it’s that number that eventually matters. Picks 21 through 32 are determined by playoff exits. For the time being I am not making those changes since it is so early in the season for tiebreakers, but for this week what that would mean is that the Saints, Colts, Lions and Steelers are all in the 21+ range despite their current draft status.
Our current top 5 picks belong to the Raiders, Jaguars, Buccaneers, Titans, and Jets. At this point I would say that the top 4 teams all have a chance to obtain the number one overall pick. Tampa and Tennessee are neck and neck for winning a tiebreaker and if the Raiders or Jaguars fall into a tie with those teams they will immediately move to the back of the group.
Jacksonville has the “clearest” path to number 1. If they lose out its almost a certainty they will win it. For the Raiders to get the 1 they are going to need to lose out and have the Jaguars win one game. Their Thursday night game against the Titans in a few weeks could be for the number 1 overall pick if the Raiders win another game. If the Jaguars lose to the Titans, the Titans will jump them in the race for the top picks. The Jets basically have no chance for the number 1 selection and could be at number 7 by the end of Monday nights game against Buffalo.
If you notice any other errors also let me know and Ill check the formulas to make sure the schedules are correct.
2015 Projected Draft Order, November 23 (All 4PM Games Included)