New Contract Tracker: Quarterbacks and Interior DL

Joe Flacco, unhappy with the extension offers he was getting from the Baltimore Ravens prior to the 2012 season, decided to play out the string of his final contract year and see what would happen after the 2012-13 campaign.  As everyone likes to say, he ‘bet on himself’ that year in an effort to prove what his true value was to the team.

After going 4-0 in those playoffs, winning the Super Bowl, and doing it with a postseason TD/INT ratio of 11:0, Flacco earned all the leverage in the world in his next deal which ended up being a 6-year, $120.6M monstrosity that at the time was the biggest contract in NFL history.  This was also the first time the word “Elite” was attached to the former Delaware Blue Hen.

It should have also been the last.

Since the 2013 season began, Joe Flacco has led the Ravens to a 24-25 record, completed a (to be kind) modest 61% of his passes and has a backup quarterback-like TD/INT ratio of 65:52.  However, that did not stop the Ravens from extending his contract (due to the cap strains caused by the latter years in the 2013 deal) by another three seasons this past March which theoretically keeps him in the pilot’s seat through 2021.

This year, he has a cringeworthy Yards Per Attempt average of 5.9, a 5:6 TD/INT ratio and a 3-4 record. All at a cap charge of $22.55M.  The Ravens are not getting today what they paid handsomely for in 2013.

Why is Joe Flacco’s professional career path noteworthy now?  Because an eerily similar scenario is playing out just 33 miles away in Landover, MD.

Continue reading New Contract Tracker: Quarterbacks and Interior DL »

2016 New Contract Tracker: Wide Receivers — Week 7

Sometimes it takes players some time to find their home. Drew Brees was battling injuries in San Diego before making his way to New Orleans, where he became the franchise’s best quarterback, leading them to their first Super Bowl victory. Brett Favre is an obvious one. Once he made it to the Packers, his career statistically became the best of any quarterback to play the game.

Continue reading 2016 New Contract Tracker: Wide Receivers — Week 7 »

2016 Power Rankings- Week 7

After 7 weeks being complete I decided to start doing my power rankings again.  For those unfamiliar with my power rankings that are based on efficiency measurements which measure how much teams score above or hold teams below their seasonal averages. So for example if we have a team with a 40% scoring efficiency they are scoring 40% more points than their opponents points allowed. A defensive efficiency of -30% would indicate a team is has allowed 30% less points than their opponents points scored.  There is also a predicted win column that indicates on average what a team’s record would be if they were to play the rest of the season at this same level. This week we’ll look at the good, bad, and ugly when it comes to spending and return on investment. Continue reading 2016 Power Rankings- Week 7 »

Could Joe Thomas or Joe Staley be Traded

The NFL trading deadline is approaching and while in season trades of star players is still pretty rare it is being floated that two left tackles are available for the right price. The Browns are supposedly willing to deal 9 time Pro Bowler Joe Thomas for a 2nd round draft pick while the 49ers are hoping for a 1st round pick for 5 time Pro Bowler Joe Staley. We’ll take a brief look at the cap room needed to acquire each player as well as the realistic market for both. Continue reading Could Joe Thomas or Joe Staley be Traded »

Extensions vs Free Agent Signings: Wide Receivers

Each year, teams across the NFL invest a large portion of their salary cap in Contract Extensions and Free Agent Deals for players who seemingly perform well. Once a team strikes a deal with a player, it is not only important to analyze the performance that justified the new deal, but it is also critical to monitor a team’s return on investment once the player has signed.  That being said, I have conducted a breakdown of the Wide Receiver Market to highlight some trends in relation to the performance of a WR before and after signing a deal and to present a risk analysis between a team signing a WR from the open market or via extension. Continue reading Extensions vs Free Agent Signings: Wide Receivers »

Looking at the Cowboys Options with Tony Romo

As a follow up to the Sporting News piece I wrote I had received a number of questions going over the various options Dallas would have with Tony Romo and how they would impact their salary cap, so let’s play some of those scenarios out and look at what does and does not make sense for the team to consider. We’ll compare these to the baseline scenario of just releasing (or trading) Romo outright, which would leave Dallas with a $19.6 million cap charge in 2017. Continue reading Looking at the Cowboys Options with Tony Romo »

2017 Free Agents: Alshon Jeffery

We’ll be doing previews throughout the season on free agent and extension eligible players and today I wanted to touch on Alshon Jeffery of the Chicago Bears. Jeffery is an interesting player because he has a real chance to hit free agency next season which is very rare for a player of his skillset. Among wide receivers the only recent players to sign top tier contracts in free agency with another team are Vincent Jackson (2012), Mike Wallace (2013), and Jeremy Maclin (2015) and only Jackson statistically belonged in the top group when he signed his contract. Pretty much everyone else signed to a lucrative contract has re-signed with his team. While it is not impossible to see the Bears tagging Jeffery for a second time, that is a rare occurrence in the NFL. Continue reading 2017 Free Agents: Alshon Jeffery »