We are excited to announce the debut of a small research book that focuses on the successes and failures in the modern NFL draft:
The Drafting Stage – Creating a Marketplace for NFL Draft Picks
Written by: Brad Spielberger & Jason Fitzgerald
If you work in/are affiliated with the NFL and are interested in receiving an electronic copy of the book, please email Brad at bradspielberger@gmail.com
The concept for the research was to use NFL salary data to retroactively grade every draft selection from 2011 through 2015 following the conclusion of their rookie contracts, and to use that data to better project the value of each future draft selection. To the best of our knowledge nobody has used this type of metric to value draft selections, as most other papers have dealt with inputs like “years making a pro bowl,” or “games started” to value the contribution and talent level of a draft pick in the NFL. Nothing is more all-encompassing, in our opinion, than the ultimate salary of a player, which should be reflective of every aspect of the player’s game.
We extended the study to go beyond just the typical “draft pick values” that are usually derived from draft analysis work. In the book we touch on the following:
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