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Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Linebackers

Player	Nominal Value	ECV	% Expected	ECV/Year
David Harris	$21,500,000	$16,124,500	75%	$5,374,833
Dan Skuta	$20,500,000	$11,820,800	58%	$2,364,160
Curtis Lofton	$18,000,000	$11,291,450	63%	$3,763,817
JT Thomas	$10,000,000	$7,655,075	77%	$2,551,692
Justin Durant	$10,800,000	$6,283,100	58%	$2,094,367
Malcolm Smith	$7,000,000	$5,633,750	80%	$2,816,875
Josh Mauga	$8,250,000	$5,476,000	66%	$1,825,333
Jonathan Casillas	$8,000,000	$5,367,050	67%	$1,789,017
Akeem Ayers	$6,000,000	$4,413,750	74%	$2,206,875
Nate Irving	$7,250,000	$4,355,250	60%	$1,451,750
Andrew Gachkar	$5,200,000	$3,520,000	68%	$1,760,000
Akeem Dent	$4,500,000	$3,213,500	71%	$1,606,750
Jasper Brinkley	$6,500,000	$3,112,750	48%	$1,556,375
LB Total:			66.1%
Global Total (122 Free Agents):			67.5%

Notable One-Year Contracts:
Sean Weatherspoon: $3,850,000 ($1,250,000)

Player	First Likely Cut Year	Dead Money Remaining
David Harris	2017 (17%)*	$0**
Dan Skuta	2018 (34%)	$0
Curtis Lofton	2017 (25%)	$0
JT Thomas	2017 (41%)	$1,000,000
Justin Durant	2017 (27%)	$416,667
Malcolm Smith	—	—
Josh Mauga	2017 (30%)	$750,000
Jonathan Casillas	2017 (34%)	$666,667
Akeem Ayers	2016 (47%)	$0
Nate Irving	2017 (33%)	$250,000
Andrew Gachkar	2016 (46%)	$600,000
Akeem Dent	2016 (43%)	$375,000
Jasper Brinkley	2016 (21%)	$625,000

*Refers to the likelihood that the player will remain under contract in the given season. This column displays the first season where the likelihood falls below 50%.

**Refers to the amount of dead money that the team will incur upon releasing the player in the season identified in the second column.

Introduction Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Introduction Part 2: Inputs & Outputs

Introduction Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introduction Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introduction Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nicholas Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor, magna cum laude, from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nicholas Barton is a sophomore at Georgetown University. He intends on double majoring in Operations and Information Management and Finance as well as pursuing a minor in Economics. Currently one of the leaders of the Georgetown Sports Analysis, Business, and Research Group, Nick consults for Dynamic Sports Solutions, an innovative sports start-up that uses mathematical and computational methods to evaluate players. He also writes for the Hoya, Georgetown’s school newspaper, and his own blog, Life of a Football Fan. Nick can be contacted via e-mail at njb50@georgetown.edu.