Categories: Uncategorized

Estimating The Number Of 2020 UDFAs For Each Team

Last Friday, Lions GM Bob Quinn observed the heightened challenges that undrafted free agents (UDFAs) will face this offseason due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Quinn also observed that his team will likely not have a huge number of UDFAs due to already having 78 players on the roster. Combine that with the nine draft pick the Lions currently hold, and it’s easy to do the math to see why Quinn comes to that prediction.

After reading that, I decided it would easy enough to calculate estimations on the number of UDFA signings for all 32 teams. The table below and to the left has very simple math: take the sum of current rostered players as estimated by OTC and draft picks each team holds, and subtract that from 90 to provide the estimated UDFA signings each team could make.

TeamCurrent Rostered PlayersCurrent # Of Draft PicksEstimated UDFA Signings
Chargers58725
Ravens57924
Rams61722
Titans62721
Falcons64620
Buccaneers64719
Cardinals66618
Panthers64818
Vikings601218
Saints69516
Bengals67716
Bears67716
Seahawks67716
Eagles66816
Packers641016
Chiefs70515
Browns68715
Cowboys70713
Bills70713
Patriots661212
Texans72711
Colts72711
Jaguars671211
Redskins73710
Giants701010
Steelers7668
49ers7875
Jets7785
Raiders7974
Lions7893
Broncos79101
Dolphins7814-2

Now, obviously these estimates will not be exact. Numerous trades will be executed during the draft that will change these numbers. Teams may also terminate the contracts of some currently rostered players to make room for more UDFAs than they currently have available. Nonetheless, these estimates can provide us some insight on what teams may be planning for UDFAs, both during and after the draft.

Teams With High Estimated UDFA Signings

  • By definition, these teams will have more roster space to sign higher numbers of UDFAs if they so choose.
  • However, there is a tradeoff: because Art. 7, §1(i) of the CBA greatly limits the amount of signing bonus money that may be offered to all UDFAs, that means that they may need to individually offer less signing bonus money to each UDFA if they spread out their pool. This could limit their ability to include high priority UDFAs among their rookie class.
  • These teams may also be candidates to trade down within the 2020 NFL Draft, in order to get more drafted players to fill out the roster.

Teams With Low Estimated UDFA Signings

  • Conversely by definition, these teams currently have limited roster space to sign UDFAs.
  • Also conversely, by signing fewer UDFAs, these teams may have a positive tradeoff by being able to offer those fewer UDFAs more signing bonus money. This could give them an advantage in outbidding other teams for high priority UDFAs
  • These teams may also be candidates to either trade up, or trade picks in the 2020 NFL Draft for ones in 2021 or later, so they don’t risk having to cut drafted rookies after training camp and the preseason.
  • Current fringe roster players on these teams may also be at a higher risk of being cut once the draft is over and terms have been agreed upon with UDFAs.
Share
Published by
Nick

Recent Posts

2025 Compensatory Picks Update (5/6/2025)

With the deadline for unrestricted free agent signings counting toward the compensatory formula having passed…

4 hours ago

OTC Podcast: May 4, 2024

In this week's OTC Podcast: NFL draft trades A quick look at new wide receiver…

18 hours ago

Fifth Year Option Outcomes

With the final outcomes in for this years option eligible rookies I thought it would…

4 days ago

Discounting Of Future NFL Draft Picks

We had a little discussion over the last few days about discounting of future draft…

6 days ago

The Salary Cap Costs and Value Added from the 2024 NFL Draft

With the 2024 NFL Draft in the books we now have a final estimate for…

1 week ago

Valuing the 2nd Round Trades of the 2024 NFL Draft

With the second round of the 2024 draft in the books I wanted to go…

1 week ago