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The Cardinals jumped to number 7, while the Seahawks dropped to 8. I cant recall the last time Seattle did not come out as a top 5 team in these rankings. Sometime back in 2012 I’d guess and one more poor week and I think its time to start being concerned.
On the low end of the rankings, the Buccaneers are proving to be the worst team in some time. There is nothing they do well and its against a pretty easy schedule. Jacksonville and St. Louis are the other teams trending really bad. The Raiders have actually played a bit better than the record would indicate but they have a very difficult schedule which, in some ways, helps them in these rankings since they are not always getting blown out.
The Falcons, Bears, and Rams look like the worst value teams in the NFL. The Falcons have the highest true payroll in the NFL while the other two are in the top 10. All three are among the worst in the NFL. The Rams do have the injury excuse as a massive portion of the team is on IR, but I would expect changes in the other two organizations unless things improve.
| Rank | Change | Team | Scoring Efficiency | Defensive Efficiency | Total Efficiency | Projected Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Broncos | 56.2% | 19.0% | 75.2% | 15.1 |
| 2 | – | Colts | 47.2% | 1.9% | 49.1% | 12.6 |
| 3 | – | Ravens | 8.7% | 34.6% | 43.2% | 12.1 |
| 4 | +2 | Chiefs | 10.9% | 28.1% | 39.0% | 11.7 |
| 5 | – | Chargers | 14.0% | 16.1% | 30.1% | 10.9 |
| 6 | +8 | Patriots | 31.8% | -6.5% | 25.2% | 10.3 |
| 7 | +3 | Cardinals | 3.3% | 19.2% | 22.5% | 10.1 |
| 8 | -4 | Seahawks | 5.5% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 10.0 |
| 9 | -2 | Eagles | 20.3% | -0.8% | 19.5% | 9.8 |
| 10 | -1 | Cowboys | 9.8% | 7.0% | 16.8% | 9.6 |
| 11 | – | Lions | -20.8% | 33.0% | 12.2% | 9.2 |
| 12 | +3 | Bengals | 2.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.1 |
| 13 | +3 | Bills | 0.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0 |
| 14 | -1 | Dolphins | 5.4% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 9.0 |
| 15 | -7 | Packers | 20.2% | -10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9 |
| 16 | +1 | Texans | -2.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.7 |
| 17 | -5 | 49ers | -1.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7 |
| 18 | +4 | Saints | 26.8% | -21.8% | 4.9% | 8.4 |
| 19 | +1 | Steelers | 10.2% | -8.2% | 2.0% | 8.2 |
| 20 | -2 | Giants | 1.3% | -1.2% | 0.0% | 8.0 |
| 21 | -2 | Browns | -4.7% | 1.3% | -3.5% | 7.7 |
| 22 | +4 | Redskins | -7.1% | -13.4% | -20.5% | 6.0 |
| 23 | – | Panthers | -10.5% | -10.8% | -21.3% | 6.0 |
| 24 | – | Vikings | -32.4% | 10.9% | -21.4% | 6.0 |
| 25 | +2 | Falcons | 3.7% | -27.8% | -24.1% | 5.7 |
| 26 | -5 | Bears | -8.4% | -19.8% | -28.2% | 5.3 |
| 27 | +1 | Titans | -27.1% | -8.4% | -35.5% | 4.7 |
| 28 | -3 | Jets | -19.6% | -19.7% | -39.3% | 4.3 |
| 29 | +1 | Raiders | -34.7% | -8.9% | -43.6% | 3.9 |
| 30 | +1 | Jaguars | -38.7% | -12.0% | -50.6% | 3.2 |
| 31 | -2 | Rams | -16.7% | -34.1% | -50.8% | 3.2 |
| 32 | – | Buccaneers | -25.2% | -45.1% | -70.3% | 1.3 |
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