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Following their blowout win against the Colts, the Patriots vault to the top spot in the rankings. The Packers also had a major jump after stifling the Eagles while the Broncos fell to number 3 off their bad loss to the Rams.
Looking through the list, the OTC top 10 is an interesting group of teams. There are really no balanced teams in the group at all. The Patriots, Packers, Broncos, and Colts are all very efficient at scoring points but not nearly as good at preventing them. Still they trend above average. The Ravens, Dolphins, Chiefs, and Cardinals are all mediocre to poor offenses but are having incredible defensive seasons. I guess the Eagles and Seahawks would be the most balanced. Both are average offenses combined with good but not standout defensive units.
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At the bottom of the pile, the Rams made a leap up while the Redskins took a big dive down. Tampa Bay’s win helped push them out of the bottom spot.
| Rank | Change | Team | Scoring Efficiency | Defensive Efficiency | Total Efficiency | Projected Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | Patriots | 30.9% | 13.5% | 44.4% | 12.2 |
| 2 | +6 | Packers | 28.0% | 10.3% | 38.3% | 11.6 |
| 3 | -2 | Broncos | 21.1% | 14.0% | 35.0% | 11.3 |
| 4 | +1 | Ravens | 8.4% | 22.9% | 31.3% | 11.0 |
| 5 | +1 | Dolphins | 1.5% | 29.4% | 31.0% | 11.0 |
| 6 | -4 | Colts | 22.7% | 6.6% | 29.3% | 10.8 |
| 7 | -3 | Chiefs | -4.3% | 33.5% | 29.2% | 10.8 |
| 8 | +1 | Cardinals | -7.6% | 31.0% | 23.4% | 10.3 |
| 9 | +1 | Seahawks | -0.2% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 9.6 |
| 10 | -3 | Eagles | 13.7% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 9.3 |
| 11 | – | Lions | -29.2% | 40.8% | 11.5% | 9.2 |
| 12 | +1 | Cowboys | 11.5% | -0.1% | 11.4% | 9.1 |
| 13 | +5 | Texans | -15.0% | 21.3% | 6.2% | 8.6 |
| 14 | +1 | Bills | -14.9% | 20.7% | 5.8% | 8.6 |
| 15 | -1 | Chargers | -14.2% | 20.0% | 5.8% | 8.6 |
| 16 | -4 | Saints | 5.0% | -1.8% | 3.2% | 8.3 |
| 17 | +3 | Bengals | -15.3% | 18.3% | 2.9% | 8.3 |
| 18 | -2 | Steelers | 2.6% | -0.6% | 2.0% | 8.2 |
| 19 | – | 49ers | -21.4% | 21.7% | 0.3% | 8.1 |
| 20 | -3 | Browns | -21.1% | 21.2% | 0.1% | 8.0 |
| 21 | – | Giants | -17.4% | 3.2% | -14.2% | 6.7 |
| 22 | – | Vikings | -34.5% | 16.9% | -17.6% | 6.4 |
| 23 | +1 | Falcons | -13.6% | -8.3% | -21.9% | 5.9 |
| 24 | +5 | Rams | -25.7% | 2.9% | -22.7% | 5.9 |
| 25 | +3 | Bears | -16.6% | -8.7% | -25.3% | 5.6 |
| 26 | -1 | Panthers | -25.9% | 0.1% | -25.7% | 5.6 |
| 27 | – | Titans | -35.2% | 6.5% | -28.7% | 5.3 |
| 28 | -5 | Redskins | -24.0% | -5.8% | -29.8% | 5.2 |
| 29 | -3 | Jets | -22.3% | -10.7% | -33.0% | 4.9 |
| 30 | – | Raiders | -36.3% | 1.5% | -34.8% | 4.7 |
| 31 | +1 | Buccaneers | -29.0% | -13.9% | -42.9% | 3.9 |
| 32 | -1 | Jaguars | -32.0% | -19.1% | -51.1% | 3.2 |
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