Beginning the week of March 21st I will post positional reports based on Expected Contract Value with commentary and a depictions of the information that is easier to process, but for reference purposes I will continue to post the calculations on a rolling basis as they become available.
Mohamed Sanu, Sean Smith, J.R. Sweezy, Doug Martin, Tamba Hali, William Hayes, Cedric Thornton, Donald Stephenson, Jermaine Kearse, Matt Forte, Bilal Powell, Vincent Rey, Tracy Porter, and Antonio Gates.
| Mohamed Sanu |
| Stated Value: $32,500,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
99.8% |
— |
$8,000,000 |
| 2017 |
— |
96.9% |
— |
$6,000,000 |
| 2018 |
$6,000,000 |
65.9% |
$3,951,449 |
— |
| 2019 |
$6,000,000 |
45.1% |
$2,706,493 |
— |
| 2020 |
$6,500,000 |
23.1% |
$1,500,603 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$8,158,545 |
$14,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$22,158,545 (68%) |
| Sean Smith |
| Stated Value: $38,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
$250,000 |
97.5% |
$243,770 |
$10,750,000 |
| 2017 |
$5,250,000 |
78.3% |
$4,112,076 |
$4,250,000 |
| 2018 |
$8,500,000 |
44.2% |
$3,760,157 |
— |
| 2019 |
$9,000,000 |
20.6% |
$1,851,578 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$9,967,580 |
$15,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$24,967,580 (66%) |
| J.R. Sweezy |
| Stated Value: $32,500,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
98.0% |
— |
$9,500,000 |
| 2017 |
$2,500,000 |
90.9% |
$2,271,688 |
$2,500,000 |
| 2018 |
$6,500,000 |
70.6% |
$4,588,142 |
— |
| 2019 |
$5,750,000 |
56.9% |
$3,273,929 |
— |
| 2020 |
$5,750,000 |
37.0% |
$2,129,589 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$12,263,349 |
$12,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$24,263,349 (75%) |
| Doug Martin |
| Stated Value: $35,750,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
98.8% |
— |
$8,000,000 |
| 2017 |
— |
93.3% |
— |
$7,000,000 |
| 2018 |
$6,750,000 |
70.3% |
$4,748,623 |
— |
| 2019 |
$7,000,000 |
37.7% |
$2,637,863 |
— |
| 2020 |
$7,000,000 |
13.5% |
$947,093 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$8,333,579 |
$15,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$23,333,579 (65%) |
| Tamba Hali |
| Stated Value: $21,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
$1,250,000 |
95.0% |
$1,187,993 |
$5,750,000 |
| 2017 |
$1,250,000 |
61.3% |
$766,733 |
$5,750,000 |
| 2018 |
$7,000,000 |
11.6% |
$813,054 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$2,767,780 |
$11,500,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$14,267,780 (68%) |
| William Hayes |
| Stated Value: $17,500,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
92.1% |
— |
$7,000,000 |
| 2017 |
$2,500,000 |
57.0% |
$1,425,283 |
$3,000,000 |
| 2018 |
$5,000,000 |
22.4% |
$1,121,346 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$2,546,629 |
$10,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$12,546,629 (72%) |
| Cedric Thornton |
| Stated Value: $17,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
98.4% |
— |
$6,000,000 |
| 2017 |
$3,000,000 |
88.2% |
$2,646,226 |
— |
| 2018 |
$4,000,000 |
62.8% |
$2,510,595 |
— |
| 2019 |
$4,000,000 |
33.8% |
$1,353,495 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$6,510,316 |
$6,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$12,510,316 (74%) |
| Donald Stephenson |
| Stated Value: $14,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
97.5% |
— |
$6,000,000 |
| 2017 |
$4,000,000 |
80.5% |
$3,218,709 |
— |
| 2018 |
$4,000,000 |
53.8% |
$2,151,794 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$5,370,503 |
$6,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$11,370,503 (81%) |
| Jermaine Kearse |
| Stated Value: $13,500,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
98.5% |
— |
$6,300,000 |
| 2017 |
$2,200,000 |
86.4% |
$1,901,736 |
— |
| 2018 |
$5,000,000 |
31.8% |
$1,589,422 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$3,491,258 |
$6,300,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$9,791,158 (73%) |
| Matt Forte |
| Stated Value: $12,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
94.5% |
— |
$5,000,000 |
| 2017 |
— |
57.4% |
— |
$4,000,000 |
| 2018 |
$3,000,000 |
10.5% |
$316,213 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$316,213 |
$9,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$9,316,213 (78%) |
| Bilal Powell |
| Stated Value: $11,250,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
97.9% |
— |
$3,500,000 |
| 2017 |
$1,250,000 |
78.5% |
$981,610 |
$2,500,000 |
| 2018 |
$4,000,000 |
24.5% |
$980,125 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$1,961,736 |
$6,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$7,961,736 (71%) |
| Vincent Rey |
| Stated Value: $10,500,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
$1,500,000 |
87.4% |
$1,311,620 |
$3,000,000 |
| 2017 |
$3,250,000 |
58.1% |
$1,888,171 |
— |
| 2018 |
$2,750,000 |
38.4% |
$1,055,143 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$4,254,934 |
$3,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$7,254,934 (69%) |
| Tracy Porter |
| Stated Value: $12,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
$250,000 |
89.8% |
$224,549 |
$4,250,000 |
| 2017 |
$3,750,000 |
45.5% |
$1,706,669 |
— |
| 2018 |
$3,750,000 |
20.8% |
$779,816 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$2,711,034 |
$4,250,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$6,961,034 (58%) |
| Antonio Gates |
| Stated Value: $11,000,000 |
| Year |
Salary |
Expected Outcome |
Expected Value |
Guaranteed |
| 2016 |
— |
59.4% |
— |
$6,000,000 |
| 2017 |
$5,000,000 |
8.7% |
$436,992 |
— |
| Subtotal |
— |
$432,992 |
$6,000,000 |
| Expected Contract Value: |
$6,436,992 (59%) |
Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nick Barton.
Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate M&A associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail atbryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.
Nick Barton is a junior at the McDonough School Business at Georgetown University. He is majoring in Finance and Operations and Information Management. Nick currently interns with an NFL team . His prior work experience includes interning with CollegeSplits and Dynamic Sports Solutions, and working as a research assistant for the Center of Applied Research of the Apostolate.