Now that the NFL’s rosters have been trimmed down to 53 players, it’s time to take a brief review of where OTC’s projections for the 2017 compensatory picks stand. This year, there have been very few changes from the update from May, therefore I won’t repost the table in this article, and instead direct you to view OTC’s main draft page, as well as the cancellation chart. Instead, I’ll just quickly review some of the new things to watch out for.
Some of that also had to do with the fact that we had compensatory picks that we’re projected to have next year after what happened in free agency. We’ll still potentially have a fourth-round pick next year that’s a compensatory pick. We just used it a little bit earlier this year. We didn’t actually trade the compensatory pick. We traded our actual draft pick we have in the fourth round next year.
However, I have projected that the Jets will get nothing more than a net-value 7th round comp pick that’s below the 32-pick limit. This is because while the Jets did lose Damon Harrison, Chris Ivory, and Demario Davis, who respectively have 4th, 5th & 6th round values, they also signed Matt Forte, Steve McLendon, and Jarvis Jenkins to cancel them out. I cannot say for sure why Maccagnan expressed confidence in receiving 2017 comp picks. One possibility is that he counted Stevan Ridley, Darrin Walls, and Antonio Allen among UFAs that the Jets had lost. But not only did I project that none of them had large enough salaries to qualify, all three of them failed to make the rosters of their new teams. Perhaps Maccagnan knows something about the relevant contracts that I don’t, but unless such information becomes known, my projection of the Jets’ CFAs lost and gained shall remain.
As we enter the regular season, the final piece of the puzzle will be adjustments for playing time and postseason honors. The list of 2017 compensatory picks will be adjusted weekly with snap count data. You may notice some odd changes after Week 1 due to small sample sizes, but I anticipate that sort of data noise to normalize as the regular season progresses. Once the regular season is over, I will offer my final projection on this set of compensatory picks. In the meantime, you can check with my account on Twitter if there are any major changes that occur to this list from now until January.
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