The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
Current Estimated 2016 Cap Space: $71.9 million Expected 2016 Cap Space: $78.3 million Estimated Rookie Cap: $6.267 million
UPDATE, March 10: Questions regarding compensatory picks and the transition tag have been added. Read this article for reference. Introduction For details on the basics and methodology of projecting compensatory picks in general, please reference this article. To kick this off, 2016 marks the first year in which I have used, as suggested by the […]
Quarterbacks | Running Backs Wide Receivers | Tight Ends Offensive Lineman | Pass Rushers Defensive Lineman Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year David Harris $21,500,000 $16,124,500 75% $5,374,833 Dan Skuta $20,500,000 $11,820,800 58% $2,364,160 Curtis Lofton $18,000,000 $11,291,450 63% $3,763,817 JT Thomas $10,000,000 $7,655,075 77% $2,551,692 Justin Durant $10,800,000 $6,283,100 58% $2,094,367 Malcolm Smith […]
In Moneyball, the main crux of the entire philosophy lies with the fact that each team only has 27 outs each and winning and losing depends on what you do with those 27 outs. This is why the Moneyball philosophy doesn’t like taking risks like stealing bases or trying to move runners over with sacrifice […]
I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Defensive Lineman: Ndamukong Suh Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 $15,000 […]
After one of the wilder openers to the new league year in recent memory, I thought the end of the work week would be a good time to catch up on where the tracker for the 2016 compensatory picks stands. It’s only been four days and we’ve had a total of 74 unrestricted free agents […]