This article refers specifically to OTC’s projection for the 2017 NFL Draft’s compensatory picks. For details on the basics and methodology of projecting compensatory picks in general, please reference this article. Furthermore, due to the complexity I have written separate articles on all possible compensatory pick scenarios on the Denver Broncos and Miami Dolphins. You […]
With the Pro Bowl rosters now finalized I’ll do our annual financial assessment of the rosters. While the Pro Bowl is certainly not the best measure of who are the best players in the NFL it can at least help us look at some trends among those who receive votes. The average annual salary of […]
With the league offices closing for today, it also closes out the addition of compensatory free agents (CFAs) into the formula for the 2017 NFL Draft. Note that while last year this cutoff date was May 12, it is my belief that from now on the cutoff date will be the second Tuesday after the […]
The chart below compares the Expected Contract Value with the stated contract value for each contract of $10 million or more signed during the 2016 offseason. Expected Contract Value 1.1 is applied at the time of signing. Expected Contract Value 1.1 takes into account the nature and timing of contract amounts, the resulting relationship between […]
One of the dangers for the first movers in free agency is the danger of overspending. Those first 48 hours or so of free agency is when everything is at its peak. Deals move fast and all the planning done in the months leading up the start of the new league year can quickly evaporate […]
Beginning the week of March 21st I will post positional reports based on Expected Contract Value with commentary and a depictions of the information that is easier to process, but for reference purposes I will continue to post the calculations on a rolling basis as they become available. Lamar Miller, Eric Weddle, C.J. Anderson, Derrick Shelby, […]
Most of my efforts regarding the NFL’s compensatory pick system have been explanatory, but occasionally I’ll offer some opinions as to how teams can manage the system. Last year I suggested that the Detroit Lions should keep their CFA lost/gained ratio positive to obtain a 3rd round pick for Ndamukong Suh, and that’s a goal […]