I finished up the 2014 regular season with a record of 170-85-1 picing straight up and 136-114-7 picking against the spread. Let’s see how things go with the playoffs…
Cardinals (+6.5) over PANTHERS– This is as bad a looking playoff game as the NFL could hope for. Carolina has played better over their last few games, which culminated with the dismantling of the Falcons, but I dont know if they can move the ball on the Arizona defense. This is strictly a pick based on the strength of the Cardinals defense, who I think can keep things close enough and allow Arizona to pull off the win in a low scoring game. Cardinals 14 Panthers 13
Ravens (+3) over STEELERS– I like Pittsburgh and think they should win but this is their big rival and there is no reason to think that this should be a blowout. The Ravens have been more consistent this year than Pittsburgh and I dont think anyone would be shocked if they won this game. Id imagine both Denver and New England would prefer the Ravens win this game. Ravens havent played well of late which scares me a bit when picking them with the points, but I think this should be close. Steelers 26 Ravens 24
COLTS (-3.5) over Bengals– The Bengals might not have a better chance to break their streak of first round exits than this year. Indianapolis looks like they have lost their identity as a football team and you don’t want to be going into the playoffs with thst type of crisis. But the Bengals star receiver is banged up and I think everyone expects Andy Dalton to make some mistakes to turn this game. Colts wont stand a chance in round 2, but should get the opportunity to prove me wrong about that. Colts 29 Bengals 23
Lions (+6.5) over COWBOYS– This whole game comes down to the Cowboys ability to control the line of scrimmage. If they control the pace of the game the Lions offense won’t see the field enough to do anything. The Lions offense needs multiple shots on the field to do anything productive and if they are forced to play score for score they have no chance. I think the defense keeps them in this but they wont win in Dallas. Cowboys 23 Lions 19
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.