Not the best start to the season with a 10-6 record SU and just 6-9-1 ATS. I already took a loss on Thursday so lets see if I can redeem myself this week.
PANTHERS (-2.5) over Lions– Detroit had a great game on Monday, but it’s a short week on the road against what should be a much tougher pass rush and defense than the Giants presented Monday. Carolina gets Cam Newton back who is out playing for a new contract and should give the offense a bit of a boost over last weeks’ performance. Panthers 20 Lions 17
Dolphins (+1) over BILLS– I feel like the Bills win last week against the Bears was more about the Bears imploding than the Bills exploding. Miami I felt completely differently about as I thought they just steamrolled New England, specifically in the trenches. I think EJ Manuel will be called on to do much more this week and won’t be up to the task. Dolphins 24 Bills 14
REDSKINS (-6) over Jaguars– If the Redskins can not come alive at home and handily beat the Jaguars you can pencil them in for a top 3 pick this year. Maybe I have too much blind faith in RGIII but Ill roll with them this week. Redskins 20 Jaguars 9
Cowboys (+3.5) over TITANS– Statement game for Dallas off last weeks debacle. If Tony Romo can not bounce back and look like he has in the past then this may be the year Dallas falls completely out of the hunt. Titans played well last week and Id guess they take DeMarco Murray away, but I still think the Cowboys are the better of the two teams. Cowboys 24 Titans 17
Cardinals (-1.5) over GIANTS– I know the history of the Cardinals going east is not good and there are some QB questions, but New York looked lost last week and has looked lost all preseason. Even if they cut down on half the mistakes the Giants would still make enough mistakes to hand the game to another team. Cardinals 23 Giants 13
Patriots (-5.5) over VIKINGS– I would have made this pick even if Adrian Peterson was playing. Yes the Patriots looked bad last week, but we have seen this from them at times in the past and they usually work through it. If they can get it through their head that Tom Brady is not the Brady of 4 or 5 years ago they should be fine. Patriots 27 Vikings 14
BROWNS (+6) over Saints– I don’t think much of the Browns but they are feisty on offense and I don’t believe in the Saints defensively. Saints should win as I cant see them going 0-2, but I think the points are just too much to give. Saints 24 Browns 19
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BENGALS (-5.5) over Falcons– If Atlanta comes out and wins this game I think Id been even more bullish on them this season, but I see this as a letdown and a bad opponent for them. The Bengals will present a much different defense than what they saw last week and the Falcons defense will have a difficult time unless the bad Dalton shows up. Bengals 27 Falcons 20
BUCCANEERS (-5.5) over Rams– The Rams offense looks atrocious and I think they will miss Chris Long on defense far more than many seem to think. They cant be as bad as last week, but I just can’t pick them for anything right now. Buccaneers 17 Rams 10
Seahawks (-5) over CHARGERS– Its hard to see San Diego matching up well with the Seattle defense though Philip Rivers will certainly try his best to test the defense. Chargers defense won’t be able to slow down the Seahawks offense either. Seahawks 24 Chargers 13
Texans (-3) over RAIDERS– Oakland looked awful last week against the Jets. The team did not look like they had real faith in the QB and the defense was non-existent. I don’t think much of Houston, but I think more of them than Oakland right now. Texans 20 Raiders 13
PACKERS (-7.5) over Jets– The Jets are walking into a buzzsaw. The Packers have been siting on a really bad game for a long time and will likely take their frustrations out on the Jets. If they don’t do it here it might say something really bad about the Packers team. Packers 31 Jets 20
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Chiefs (+13) over BRONCOS– I don’t think the Chiefs have much of a chance in this one, but 13 points is a tremendous amount of points to give and I think its an overreaction to their game in week 1. I don’t expect the Broncos to sweat much but even if it’s a backdoor cover I think Kansas City is within 13. Broncos 27 Chiefs 17
Bears (+7) over 49ERS– This is another game where I feel the line is too much of a reaction to week 1. San Francisco had no pressure on them in the last game as the Cowboys handed them the game just a few minutes in. Chicago should put forth a much better effort and be right in this until the end. 49ers 24 Bears 21
Eagles (+3) over COLTS– Should be an up and down shootout game but the Eagles can give a more competent effort on defense and a more balanced offensive game. Colts will be in this until the end, but I prefer the Eagles to win outright. Eagles 30 Colts 26
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