Sorry for the limited updates this week everyone. We should be back to normal next week, but I’ll keep the predictions going and make sure to get the FanDuel information online too. I think I had my worst week of the season in week 9 going 8-5 in picks and 4-7-1 in picks against the spread. My yearly record now stands at 88-45-1 SU and 75-55-4 ATS.
Browns (+6.5) over BENGALS– I expect this to be a close game tonight between two pretty evenly matched teams. My one worry in this pick is that I do believe that much of what we have seen of the Browns has come against lower level competition and the Bengals are a step up for them. The Browns have also been hurt by the loss of Alex Mack and the Bengals have the interior players to really take advantage of them. I think this game will likely map out the course for the rest of the Browns games this season. If they are non-competitive then a QB change may not be far away and even a competitive loss may begin the thought process of moving forward. I think we’ll see the best effort possible from the Browns tonight. The Bengals have to prove they can win what are considered big, spotlight games as they have fallen short too often in that regard. If they press and play poorly its going to be hard to picture them ever breaking their streak of first round playoff exits, assuming they even get that far. Bengals 23 Browns 21
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.