Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Safeties

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs

Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Offensive Lineman  |  Pass Rushers

Defensive Lineman  |  Linebackers

Cornerbacks

Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year
Devin McCourty $47,500,000 $33,728,500 71% $6,745,700
Da’Norris Searcy $23,750,000 $16,644,875 70% $4,161,219
Nate Allen $23,000,000 $15,484,000 67% $3,871,000
Marcus Gilchrist $22,000,000 $13,947,500 61% $3,486,875
Ron Parker $25,000,000 $13,558,500 54% $3,389,625
Rahim Moore $12,000,000 $9,568,750 80% $3,189,583
Antrel Rolle $11,250,000 $6,744,200 60% $2,248,067
Sergio Brown $7,000,000 $4,793,500 68% $1,597,833
Darian Stewart $4,250,000 $3,182,000 75% $1,591,000
Mike Adams $4,250,000 $2,224,650 52% $1,112,325
S Total: 66.6%
Global Total (122 Free Agents): 67.5%
Notable One-Year Contracts:
Louis Delmas:   $3,500,000 ($0 guaranteed)
Alan Ball:   $3,000,000 ($1,000,000 guaranteed)
 
Player First Likely Cut Year Dead Money Remaining
Devin McCourty 2018 (43%)* $6,000,000**
Da’Norris Searcy 2018 (37%) $1,125,000
Nate Allen 2017 (48%) $0
Marcus Gilchrist 2018 (35%) $625,000
Ron Parker 2018 (29%) $2,000,000
Rahim Moore
Antrel Rolle 2016 (43%) $0
Sergio Brown 2017 (36%) $0
Dairan Stewart 2016 (47%) $750,000
Mike Adams 2016 (12%) $0
 

*Refers to the likelihood that the player will remain under contract in the given season.  This column displays the first season where the likelihood falls below 50%.

**Refers to the amount of dead money that the team will incur upon releasing the player in the season identified in the second column.

Introduction Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Introduction Part 2: Inputs & Outputs

Introduction Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introduction Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introduction Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nicholas Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor, magna cum laude, from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nicholas Barton is a sophomore at Georgetown University. He intends on double majoring in Operations and Information Management and Finance as well as pursuing a minor in Economics. Currently one of the leaders of the Georgetown Sports Analysis, Business, and Research Group, Nick consults for Dynamic Sports Solutions, an innovative sports start-up that uses mathematical and computational methods to evaluate players. He also writes for the Hoya, Georgetown’s school newspaper, and his own blog, Life of a Football Fan. Nick can be contacted via e-mail at njb50@georgetown.edu.