Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Safeties

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs

Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Offensive Lineman  |  Pass Rushers

Defensive Lineman  |  Linebackers


PlayerNominal ValueECV% ExpectedECV/Year
Devin McCourty$47,500,000$33,728,50071%$6,745,700
Da’Norris Searcy$23,750,000$16,644,87570%$4,161,219
Nate Allen$23,000,000$15,484,00067%$3,871,000
Marcus Gilchrist$22,000,000$13,947,50061%$3,486,875
Ron Parker$25,000,000$13,558,50054%$3,389,625
Rahim Moore$12,000,000$9,568,75080%$3,189,583
Antrel Rolle$11,250,000$6,744,20060%$2,248,067
Sergio Brown$7,000,000$4,793,50068%$1,597,833
Darian Stewart$4,250,000$3,182,00075%$1,591,000
Mike Adams$4,250,000$2,224,65052%$1,112,325
S Total:66.6%
Global Total (122 Free Agents):67.5%
Notable One-Year Contracts:
Louis Delmas:   $3,500,000 ($0 guaranteed)
Alan Ball:   $3,000,000 ($1,000,000 guaranteed)
PlayerFirst Likely Cut YearDead Money Remaining
Devin McCourty2018 (43%)*$6,000,000**
Da’Norris Searcy2018 (37%)$1,125,000
Nate Allen2017 (48%)$0
Marcus Gilchrist2018 (35%)$625,000
Ron Parker2018 (29%)$2,000,000
Rahim Moore
Antrel Rolle2016 (43%)$0
Sergio Brown2017 (36%)$0
Dairan Stewart2016 (47%)$750,000
Mike Adams2016 (12%)$0

*Refers to the likelihood that the player will remain under contract in the given season.  This column displays the first season where the likelihood falls below 50%.

**Refers to the amount of dead money that the team will incur upon releasing the player in the season identified in the second column.

Introduction Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Introduction Part 2: Inputs & Outputs

Introduction Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introduction Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introduction Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nicholas Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor, magna cum laude, from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nicholas Barton is a sophomore at Georgetown University. He intends on double majoring in Operations and Information Management and Finance as well as pursuing a minor in Economics. Currently one of the leaders of the Georgetown Sports Analysis, Business, and Research Group, Nick consults for Dynamic Sports Solutions, an innovative sports start-up that uses mathematical and computational methods to evaluate players. He also writes for the Hoya, Georgetown’s school newspaper, and his own blog, Life of a Football Fan. Nick can be contacted via e-mail at njb50@georgetown.edu.