Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Linebackers

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs

Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Offensive Lineman  |  Pass Rushers

Defensive Lineman

Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year
David Harris $21,500,000 $16,124,500 75% $5,374,833
Dan Skuta $20,500,000 $11,820,800 58% $2,364,160
Curtis Lofton $18,000,000 $11,291,450 63% $3,763,817
JT Thomas $10,000,000 $7,655,075 77% $2,551,692
Justin Durant $10,800,000 $6,283,100 58% $2,094,367
Malcolm Smith $7,000,000 $5,633,750 80% $2,816,875
Josh Mauga $8,250,000 $5,476,000 66% $1,825,333
Jonathan Casillas $8,000,000 $5,367,050 67% $1,789,017
Akeem Ayers $6,000,000 $4,413,750 74% $2,206,875
Nate Irving $7,250,000 $4,355,250 60% $1,451,750
Andrew Gachkar $5,200,000 $3,520,000 68% $1,760,000
Akeem Dent $4,500,000 $3,213,500 71% $1,606,750
Jasper Brinkley $6,500,000 $3,112,750 48% $1,556,375
LB Total: 66.1%
Global Total (122 Free Agents): 67.5%
Notable One-Year Contracts:
Sean Weatherspoon:   $3,850,000 ($1,250,000)
 
Player First Likely Cut Year Dead Money Remaining
David Harris 2017 (17%)* $0**
Dan Skuta 2018 (34%) $0
Curtis Lofton 2017 (25%) $0
JT Thomas 2017 (41%) $1,000,000
Justin Durant 2017 (27%) $416,667
Malcolm Smith
Josh Mauga 2017 (30%) $750,000
Jonathan Casillas 2017 (34%) $666,667
Akeem Ayers 2016 (47%) $0
Nate Irving 2017 (33%) $250,000
Andrew Gachkar 2016 (46%) $600,000
Akeem Dent 2016 (43%) $375,000
Jasper Brinkley 2016 (21%) $625,000
 

*Refers to the likelihood that the player will remain under contract in the given season.  This column displays the first season where the likelihood falls below 50%.

**Refers to the amount of dead money that the team will incur upon releasing the player in the season identified in the second column.

Introduction Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Introduction Part 2: Inputs & Outputs

Introduction Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introduction Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introduction Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nicholas Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor, magna cum laude, from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nicholas Barton is a sophomore at Georgetown University. He intends on double majoring in Operations and Information Management and Finance as well as pursuing a minor in Economics. Currently one of the leaders of the Georgetown Sports Analysis, Business, and Research Group, Nick consults for Dynamic Sports Solutions, an innovative sports start-up that uses mathematical and computational methods to evaluate players. He also writes for the Hoya, Georgetown’s school newspaper, and his own blog, Life of a Football Fan. Nick can be contacted via e-mail at njb50@georgetown.edu.