Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs

Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends

Offensive Lineman  |  Pass Rushers

Defensive Lineman  |  Linebackers

Player	Nominal Value	ECV	% Expected	ECV/Year
Darrelle Revis	$70,000,000	$50,057,000	72%	$10,011,400
Byron Maxwell	$63,000,000	$37,531,250	60%	$6,255,208
Kareem Jackson	$34,000,000	$26,977,500	79%	$6,744,375
Brandon Flowers	$36,400,000	$23,458,200	64%	$5,864,550
Chris Culliver	$32,000,000	$22,328,000	70%	$5,582,000
Antonio Cromartie	$32,000,000	$19,587,000	61%	$4,896,750
Buster Skrine	$25,000,000	$18,472,000	74%	$4,618,000
Davon House	$24,500,000	$18,235,000	74%	$4,558,750
Cary Williams	$18,000,000	$10,752,000	60%	$3,584,000
Brandon Browner	$15,000,000	$10,190,500	68%	$3,396,833
Tramon Williams	$21,000,000	$9,761,600	46%	$3,253,867
Perris Cox	$15,000,000	$9,140,000	61%	$3,046,667
Brice McCain	$5,500,000	$3,943,000	72%	$1,971,500
Darius Butler	$5,000,000	$2,989,500	60%	$1,494,750
Jimmy Wilson	$4,250,000	$2,740,000	64%	$1,370,000
CB Total:			66.4%
Global Total (122 Free Agents):			67.5%
Notable One-Year Contracts:
Walter Thurmond:   $3,250,000 ($2,000,000 guaranteed)
Shareece Wright:   $3,000,000 ($1,500,000 guaranteed)
Terrence Newman:   $2,250,000 ($750,000 guaranteed)
Bradley Fletcher:   $2,150,000 ($550,000 guaranteed)
Patrick Robinson:   $2,000,000 ($1,250,000 guaranteed)

 

Player	Most Likely Cut Year	Dead Money Remaining
Darrelle Revis	2018 (32%)*	$1,666,666**
Byron Maxwell	2018 (43%)	$2,400,000
Kareem Jackson	2018 (37%)	$2,250,000
Brandon Flowers	2017 (38%)	$4,000,000
Chris Culliver	2017 (48%)	$2,500,000
Antonio Cromartie	2017 (36%)	$1,000,000
Buster Skrine	2018 (38%)	$1,250,000
Davon House	2018 (35%)	$0
Cary Williams	2016 (49%)	$2,333,333
Brandon Browner	2017 (18%)	$1,300,000
Tramon Williams	2016 (24%)	$3,800,000
Perrish Cox	2017 (31%)	$833,333
Brice McCain	2016 (41%)	$1,000,000
Darius Butler	2016 (32%)	$500,000
Jimmy Wilson	2016 (31%)	$0

 

*Refers to the likelihood that the player will remain under contract in the given season.  This column displays the first season where the likelihood falls below 50%.

**Refers to the amount of dead money that the team will incur upon releasing the player in the season identified in the second column.

Introduction Part 1: Justification, Theory, & “Contract Analytics”

Introduction Part 2: Inputs & Outputs

Introduction Part 3: Contract Comparison

Introduction Part 4: Salary Cap Budgeting

Introduction Part 5: Frequently Asked Questions

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nicholas Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor, magna cum laude, from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm. Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nicholas Barton is a sophomore at Georgetown University. He intends on double majoring in Operations and Information Management and Finance as well as pursuing a minor in Economics. Currently one of the leaders of the Georgetown Sports Analysis, Business, and Research Group, Nick consults for Dynamic Sports Solutions, an innovative sports start-up that uses mathematical and computational methods to evaluate players. He also writes for the Hoya, Georgetown’s school newspaper, and his own blog, Life of a Football Fan. Nick can be contacted via e-mail at njb50@georgetown.edu.