Expected Contract Value Calculations

Olivier Vernon, Malik Jackson, Brock Osweiler, Janoris Jenkins, Kelechi Osemele, Brandon Brooks, Marvin Jones, Alex Mack, Bruce Irvin, Rodney McLeod, Coby Fleener, Jeff Allen, Dwayne Allen, George Iloka, Danny Trevathan, Joseph Barksdale, Alex Boone, Chase Daniel, Ben Jones, Isa Abdul-Quddus, Ahtyba Rubin, and Richie Incognito.  Many more are on the way.

Olivier Vernon
Stated Value: $85,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$250,00099.8%$249,442$28,750,000
2017$250,00098.5%$246,328$11,250,000
2018$13,000,00090.7%$11,785,963
2019$13,500,00074.4%$11,526,850
2020$15,500,00051.1%$7,917,693
Subtotal$31,726,276$40,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$71,726,276 (84%)
 
Malik Jackson
Stated Value: $85,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.7%$18,000,000
201797.6%$13,500,000
2018$13,500,00082.7%$11,997,674
2019$13,000,00070.3%$9,143,042
2020$13,750,00049.0%$6,735,551
2021$13,750,00033.2%$4,560,677 
Subtotal$32,436,945$31,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$63,936,945 (74%)
Brock Osweiler
Stated Value: $72,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.6%$21,000,000
201796.5%$16,000,000
2018$18,000,00072.1%$12,977,718
2019$17,000,00055.6%$9,455,547
Subtotal$22,433,265$37,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$59,433,265 (83%)
Janoris Jenkins
Stated Value: $62,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$100,00099.6%$99,600$15,900,000
2017$100,00095.9%$95,900$12,900,000
2018$11,000,00072.9%$8,023,170
2019$10,250,00049.8%$5,101,439
2020$12,250,00027.2%$3,336,560
Subtotal$16,656,714$28,800,000
Expected Contract Value:$45,456,714 (73%)
Kelechi Osemele
Stated Value: $58,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$500,00099.1%$495,649$12,700,000
2017$500,00093.3%$466,643$12,700,000
2018$10,200,00070.4%$7,178,796
2019$10,200,00053.5%$5,460,076
2020$11,700,00032.2%$3,766,495
Subtotal$17,367,659$25,400,000
Expected Contract Value:$42,767,659 (73%)
Brandon Brooks
Stated Value: $40,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.6%$12,000,000
201797.7%$5,000,000
2018$8,500,00078.9%$6,707,921
2019$7,500,00060.0%$4,501,247
2020$7,000,00035.7%$2,501,506
Subtotal$13,710,673$17,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$30,710,673 (77%)
Marvin Jones
Stated Value: $40,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201698.7%$13,000,000
2017$7,000,00085.0%$5,950,269
2018$7,000,00071.3%$4,994,258
2019$6,500,00055.3%$3,597,369
2020$6,500,00035.3%$2,291,485
Subtotal$16,833,381$13,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$29,833,381 (75%)
Alex Mack
Stated Value: $45,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.0%$13,250,000
201793.4%$6,750,000
2018$8,500,00060.0%$5,099,035
2019$8,500,00034.5%$2,930,237
2020$8,000,00016.5%$1,322,227
Subtotal$9,351,500$20,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$29,351,500 (65%)
Bruce Irvin
Stated Value: $37,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$250,00096.3%$240,715$12,250,000
2017$4,750,00081.9%$3,891,625$2,250,000
2018$8,250,00055.3%$4,561,594
2019$9,250,00032.2%$2,977,785
Subtotal$11,671,718$14,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$26,171,718 (71%)
Rodney McLeod
Stated Value: $35,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.6%$9,000,000
201797.7%$4,000,000
2018$6,000,00082.0%$4,918,061
2019$7,500,00053.8%$4,036,042
2020$8,500,00024.8%$2,106,391
Subtotal$11,060,495$13,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$ 24,060,495 (69%)
Coby Fleener
Stated Value: $36,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201699.7%$8,800,000
2017$100,00096.7%$86,672$5,800,000
2018$6,400,00068.0%$4,350,407
2019$7,400,00040.3%$2,984,074
2020$7,500,00021.6%$1,623,036
Subtotal$9,054,189$14,600,000
Expected Contract Value:$23,654,189 (66%)
Jeff Allen
Stated Value: $28,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$500,00099.1%$495,581$9,500,000
2017$2,750,00094.2%$2,591,270$2,500,000
2018$6,250,00075.3%$4,705,168
2019$6,500,00050.6%$3,285,789
Subtotal$11,077,809$12,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$23,077,809 (82%)
Dwayne Allen
Stated Value: $29,400,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$500,00096.7%$483,253$11,500,000
2017$5,000,00079.7%$3,985,008
2018$5,000,00065.1%$3,253,746
2019$7,400,00031.5%$2,332,789
Subtotal$10,054,796$11,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$21,554,796 (73%)
George Iloka
Stated Value: $30,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$2,600,00097.2%$2,527,640$5,000,000
2017$4,800,00089.4%$4,290,645
2018$5,600,00074.2%$4,155,919
2019$6,000,00051.9%$3,111,687
2020$6,000,00030.7%$1,839,078
Subtotal$15,924,969$5,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$20,924,969 (70%)
Danny Trevathan
Stated Value: $24,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$100,00099.2%$99,204$10,000,000
2017$100,00096.6%$96,556$2,000,000
2018$5,900,00074.2%$4,378,444
2019$6,400,00046.9%$3,000,093
Subtotal$7,574,297$12,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$19,574,297 (80%)
Joseph Barksdale
Stated Value: $22,200,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$50,00099.0%$49,488$7,500,000
2017$1,550,00093.1%$1,443,103$3,000,000
2018$4,800,00071.1%$3,412,512
2019$5,300,00044.0%$2,330,122
Subtotal$7,235,226$10,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$17,735,226 (80%)
Alex Boone
Stated Value: $26,800,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$100,00096.3%$96,300$6,600,000
2017$3,300,00076.8%$2,736,048$3,400,000
2018$6,700,00043.5%$2,912,532
2019$6,700,00025.3%$1,694,224
Subtotal$7,239,129$10,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$17,239,129 (64%)
Chase Daniel
Stated Value: $21,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
201698.6%$7,000,000
2017$2,000,00085.7%$1,713,994$5,000,000
2018$7,000,00044.3%$3,102,633
Subtotal$4,816,627$12,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$16,816,627 (80%)
Ben Jones
Stated Value: $17,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$500,00099.2%$495,926$5,000,000
2017$500,00093.8%$468,990$2,500,000
2018$4,500,00065.3%$2,936,999
2019$4,500,00039.1%$1,759,973
Subtotal$5,661,887$7,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$13,161,887 (75%)
Isa Abdul-Quddus
Stated Value: $12,750,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$25,00097.1%$24,265$4,225,000
2017$4,250,00069.2%$2,941,606
2018$4,250,00037.4%$1,591,209
Subtotal$4,557,080$4,225,000
Expected Contract Value:$8,782,080 (69%)
Ahtyba Ruin
Stated Value: $12,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$500,00095.0%$474,772$5,500,000
2017$2,200,00071.9%$1,582,676
2018$3,800,00026.5%$1,007,010
Subtotal$3,064,458$5,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$8,564,458 (71%)
Richie Incognito
Stated Value: $
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueAdjustment
2016$100,00087.4%$87,400$5,450,000
2017$3,775,00046.8%$1,766,952
2018$6,425,00012.3%$788,083
Subtotal$2,642,388$5,450,000
Expected Contract Value:$ 8,092,388 (51%)
 

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nick Barton.


Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate M&A associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm.  Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail atbryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nick Barton is  a junior at the McDonough School Business at  Georgetown University.  He is majoring in Finance and Operations and Information Management. Nick currently interns with an NFL team . His prior work experience includes interning with CollegeSplits and Dynamic Sports Solutions, and working as a research assistant for the Center of Applied Research of the Apostolate.