2016 Cap Analytics: Green Bay Packers

Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions.   The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016.  A pay cut is treated as […]

Is Lane Johnson’s Contract a Win for the Eagles?

Over the weekend there was pretty big buzz coming out of Philadelphia when the Eagles signed their right tackle Lane Johnson to a huge $11.25 million per year contract extension with over $35 million in guarantees.  My initial thought was the same as everyone else’s: “what in the world are they thinking”. Johnson was drafted […]

Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Offensive Lineman

Quarterbacks Running Backs Wide Receivers Tight Ends Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Rodney Hudson $44,500,000 $32,262,400 72% $6,452,480 Mike Iupati $40,000,000 $23,975,000 60% $4,795,000 Bryan Bulaga $33,750,000 $23,745,000 70% $4,749,000 Orlando Franklin $35,500,000 $23,140,250 65% $4,628,050 Jeremy Parnell $32,000,000 $21,091,500 66% $4,218,300 Derek Newton $26,500,000 $19,003,250 72% $3,800,650 Clint Boling $26,000,000 $17,286,400 66% […]