Another week and another 8 wins ATS. This is getting a bit boring at this point. I guess its better than a crash and burn, but one double digit win week would be nice.
Vikings (-9.5) over BROWNS– Sending the Browns to England probably doesn’t help the NFL in increasing their reach overseas. Unless the Vikings are jetlagged its hard to see this being competitive. Vikings 24 Browns 10
BUCS (-2.5) over Panthers– Carolina is one of the most difficult teams to figure out. They will need to be able to pass the ball to beat the Bucs in Tampa and Im not sure they will be able to do it. Game should be close either way. Bucs 23 Panthers 21
SAINTS (-8.5) over Bears– The Bears had a once in a lifetime showing on defense last week at home. Doubtful they do that again especially on the road. Saints should roll. Saints 30 Bears 17
JETS (+4.5) over Falcons– Season is over for the loser of this game. Jets will likely come out stronger at the start but who knows if they can finish. Atlanta struggles but wins late on a field goal as time expires. Falcons 23 Jets 21
EAGLES (-12.5) over 49ers– I am a little worried about a letdown game for Philadelphia since it would be really easy to overlook San Francisco. That said the 49ers should match up poorly against the Eagles so I cant see then winning but I guess a cover is possible. Still Ill go Philly. Eagles 35 49ers 13
BENGALS (-9.5) over Colts– This is a really big line for the Bengals, but the Colts are the worst team in the NFL. AJ Green should go crazy this week. Bengals 27 Colts 14
BILLS (-2.5) over Raiders– Not an easy trip for Oakland and they may find it frustrating to match up with a Bills defense that will likely shut them down close to the goal. Should be close and pretty important for the playoffs. Bills 23 Raiders 20
Chargers (+7.5) over PATRIOTS– Last week was the Patriots first real quality win in some time. Chargers are a better team than many give them credit for and can provide a pretty balanced attack. Patriots will put a little distance late, but think this will be close most of the afternoon. Patriots 27 Chargers 20
Texans (-5.5) over SEAHAWKS– Given where Houston may be emotionally right now this may end up being the worst pick of the week, but Seattle just doesn’t do enough offensively for me to pick them by 6 even at home. Seahawks 23 Texans 20
REDSKINS (+2.5) over Cowboys– Big game for both teams but especially the Redskins who would really be hurt with a loss. Dallas was impressive last week but this may be a tough matchup. I like the Redskins to sneak out the win. Redskins 27 Cowboys 24
LIONS (+3.5) over Steelers– This just seems like a terrible matchup for the Lions. Lions need to be able to pass to stay in the game and right now nobody can really pass on the Steelers. Pittsburgh is always capable of laying a big egg on the road, but I don’t think this is the week. Steelers 26 Lions 17
CHIEFS (-7.5) over Broncos– KC just has too much for the Broncos who have been lost the last few games. Chiefs need to right the ship after a few losses and should do that here. The line is pretty big for a divisional game, but Ill go with the higher octane offense to cover. Chiefs 29 Broncos 20
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.