The (slightly) winning weekly records continue with a 10-4 SU and 8-5-1 week 8 performance. The yearly record is at 81-38 and 58-56-5 respectively. All of this weekend’s game are now posted after the jump.
BENGALS (-12) over Browns– The Bengals are one of the best teams in the NFL this season while the Browns were entertaining offers for their offensive linemen this week. The Browns most gritty player, Josh McCown, is out for the week and replaced by Johnny Manziel. Its a really difficult spot for him to be thrown in to on a short week. About the only reason I can see the Browns being in this game is if the Bengals walk in overconfident and try to sleepwalk through the game. Bengals 34 Browns 17
JETS (-8) over Jaguars– The Jets tried to sleepwalk through Oakland and got trounced in an awful showing. If the Jets can’t come back strong at home against Jacksonville the honeymoon for Todd Bowles will officially be over. Expect big game for Chris Ivory. Jets 30 Jaguars 17
PATRIOTS (-14) over Redskins– This is a huge line, but New England is pretty dominant at home, usually getting extra big showings from Rob Gronkowski, and Washington isnt the same class of team. Id be a little worried bout late cover, but New England doesnt usally let up to allow that the way other teams do. Patriots 39 Redskins 17
BILLS (-3) over Dolphins– It’s too early for something to be an elimination game, but this may be pretty close for the AFC East rivals. Rex Ryan usually has a tough time off bye weeks and could get caught looking forward, but whatever momentum the Dolphins players felt because of the coaching switch is probably gone. Bills 27 Dolphins 21
Raiders (+4.5) over Steelers– It’s not often when you have a mid season Raiders game where we talk about the potential impact of playoff tiebreakers, but these Raiders have finally turned a corner. Expect the Steelers offense, even without Le’Veon Bell, to be a bit better this week as Roethlisberger shakes off his injury. Home field should make the difference in a close game. Steelers 23 Raiders 19
Rams (+2) over VIKINGS– Don’t expect much scoring in this game. Vikings can be tough to run on at home which may neutralize all of the Rams offense minus a Tavon Austin big play. Ill just hedge by taking the points but picking the favorite to win. Vikings 14 Rams 13
Titans (+8) over SAINTS- This seems like the perfect trap game for the Saints, who I think may find themselves in a contest before they wake up in the second half. Saints 28 Titans 23
PANTHERS (+2.5) over Packers– Nobody believes in Carolina and most expect Green Bay to beat up on them, but of the two I think Carolina has been more impressive overall this season. This will be a huge leap forward for Cam Newton if his team wins this. Panthers win late. Panthers 21 Packers 20
Falcons (-7) over 49ERS– Nobody knows what to make of the Falcons these days, but playing against Blaine Gabbert should lead to a win. Falcons 30 49ers 13
Giants (-2.5) over BUCCANEERS– The Giants can be pretty hard to judge on offense. They have weeks where they can find the end zone and others where they settle for field goals all week. If the Giants used up their TD output in New Orleans I could see them losing. If not expect another high scoring game for both sides, with the turnovers of the Bucs likely sealing the win for NY. Giants 33 Bucs 27
Broncos (-5) over COLTS– Going into the season this looked like a big game, but now it just looks like an easy win for the undefeated Broncos. Only questions for me is can Denver win if the defense takes a week off? If they don’t this week, expect Andrew Luck’s turnover woes to gain even more attention. Broncos 24 Colts 14
Eagles (-3) over COWBOYS– Dallas would have won the NFC East if Tony Romo was healthy, but without him they just don’t have the offense to compete. Eagles defense can be stifling at times despite the weaknesses that are in the secondary. As long as Bradford makes less mistakes than Cassel this game is there for the Eagles. Eagles 24 Cowboys 14
Bears (+4) over CHARGERS– This is about as uninspiring a matchup as you can find for a prime time game. Neither team plays any defense which could make the game surprisingly fun, though San Diego does have a lot of injuries to work through. Big game for Alshon Jeffery on a national stage. I’ll take the points in a shootout. Chargers 33 Bears 30
Jason is the founder of OTC and has been studying NFL contracts and the salary cap for over 15 years. Jason has co-authored two books about the NFL, Crunching Numbers and the Drafting Stage, which are widely circulated in the industry and hosts the OTC Podcast. Jason’s work has been featured in various publications including the Sporting News, Sports Illustrated, NFL Network and more. OTC is widely considered the leading authority on contract matters in the NFL.