OTC Power Rankings: Week 9

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I just compiled the numbers for this week’s power rankings and the big mover of the week is none other than the Carolina Panthers who jumped from number 9 all the way to number 2. They are currently the team that has the most efficient salary cap allocation in 2013 and it is not really close between them and the next closest team. They should be viewed as a legit threat to the New Orleans Saints.

There were no new entrants into the top 10, though the Patriots are about to jump back in. The addition of Rob Gronkowski has really helped them offensively, though its a wonder if he and Danny Amendola can remain healthy for the rest of the season. The Bears replaced the Ravens in the top 15, in part on the strength of their win against the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers on Monday. The big fall of the week was Oakland who got annihilated by the Eagles. The question is whether they bounce back the way the Jets did following a large loss or crumble.

Power Rankings, Week 9

RankTeamScoring
Efficiency
Defensive
Efficiency
Total
Efficiency
Predicted
Wins
Dollars per
Win
1Broncos81.6%-30.8%50.8%12.7$10,526,192
2Panthers3.3%39.3%42.6%12.1$9,510,553
349ers19.5%20.6%40.1%11.8$10,533,120
4Seahawks16.8%22.2%39.0%11.7$11,519,073
5Chiefs-7.9%41.4%33.5%11.2$12,014,497
6Colts13.0%19.5%32.5%11.1$11,167,472
7Saints12.1%17.9%30.0%10.8$11,449,938
8Packers22.6%6.7%29.3%10.8$11,284,347
9Bengals-0.6%23.6%23.0%10.2$12,359,696
10Cowboys14.2%7.8%22.1%10.1$11,732,029
11Patriots10.3%7.9%18.2%9.7$12,891,497
12Lions10.4%1.0%11.4%9.1$13,247,088
13Titans0.7%7.0%7.8%8.7$14,667,181
14Cardinals-4.4%9.8%5.4%8.5$14,227,485
15Bears24.2%-20.0%4.3%8.3$15,228,575
16Dolphins1.0%-0.3%0.8%8.1$13,715,181
17Ravens-16.3%10.2%-6.2%7.4$16,362,840
18Eagles3.3%-10.0%-6.7%7.3$17,560,035
19Bills9.6%-16.3%-6.7%7.3$15,677,686
20Browns-16.2%7.9%-8.3%7.2$15,612,153
21Chargers-8.5%0.0%-8.4%7.2$16,788,294
22Redskins1.5%-15.7%-14.2%6.6$16,289,396
23Giants-26.9%3.8%-23.1%5.8$21,220,982
24Rams-8.4%-14.8%-23.2%5.8$21,190,078
25Texans-6.3%-18.4%-24.7%5.6$21,990,121
26Falcons3.0%-28.7%-25.7%5.5$21,751,467
27Buccaneers-28.8%0.1%-28.8%5.3$24,075,327
28Jets-16.8%-15.6%-32.4%4.9$25,461,931
29Vikings-0.9%-33.9%-34.9%4.6$27,882,805
30Steelers-20.2%-16.6%-36.8%4.5$27,341,887
31Raiders-33.3%-6.3%-39.6%4.3$29,123,727
32Jaguars-51.1%-32.3%-83.4%0.1$100,000,000

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  • Eamonn

    I love your site which I read regularly, and am a great admirer of the depth of research, the realism and the quality of writing evident in all of your work. Having said that, I do believe this article – and most notably with regards to the Patriots – highlights the deficiencies in basing predictions solely off statistics. The Pats projected win total is 9.7. Looking at their remaining schedule, I can’t see any way that they don’t go at worst 11-5, and more likely 13-3. It is entirely possible that I am missing the point in this regard, but I think maybe adding an extra column to your table giving your actual personal opinion on the teams final win total – as opposed to just having the statistically predicted total – would be a worthwhile addition.