OTC Podcast 4/3: Cowboys, Buccaneers, Contract Philosophies and More…

In this weeks OTC Podcast:

– Thoughts on the Cowboys restructure of Tony Romo’s contract

– The Browns and Johnny Manziel

– Tampa Bay’s roster decisions and upcoming draft choices

– The all cash salary cap philosophy

– What to try to aim for in a contract

– Plus NCAA/NBA thoughts and more…

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  • McGeorge

    >>What to try to aim for in a contract

    Lets say you’ve played 4 years in the NFL and have a net worth of $1,000,000

    You have 2 options

    A – You get $10,000,000

    B – roll a die, 1-5 you get $15,000,000, but on a 6 you get 0

    Which would you take?

    The expected value of B is much higher. Would you take it?

    How about

    A – $30,000,000
    B – roll a die, 1-5 you get $45,000,000, but on a 6 you get 0

    Which would you take?

    The marginal value of going from 1MM to 10 MM is much more valuable, that going from 10MM to 15 MM or 20MM or 30MM.

    10MM and you are set for life
    30MM and you are able to do fantasy things like owning an island, or multiple houses. Whatever.

    It’s up to each person to decide what they want. But I’d certainly weigh getting the money up front and not risk free agency. The risk of getting injured isn’t huge but it’s not small either.
    I think JJ Watt made the right move.
    Geno Adkins and Ois Omenura tore their ACLs. Why take that risk. Take the 90/100 MM (or whatever it was).
    If Suh gets more, oh well. Be happy with what you have.