OTC NFL Power Rankings: Week 6

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With week 6 complete we now have our updated Power Rankings with a new number 1 as the Seattle Seahawks take over the top spot from the Denver Broncos. The Broncos actually fell all the way to number 3, though its essentially you can look at the Seahawks, Broncos, and Saints as equal teams with the Chiefs just barely behind.

Denver is the most lopsided team in the NFL, scoring 80% more points than their schedule’s average points allowed but allowing over 30% more points. The next closest scoring unit is the Packers at just 31.5%. In terms of points allowed they are 3rd worst in the NFL. They are getting some reinforcements back in Von Miller and Champ Bailey and in many cases the defense has been able to go on cruise control so it’s a situation worth watching if the offense ever has a down game and has to rely on the defense to contribute more.

I think  the biggest early season surprise in terms of performance is the Panthers. The defense is dominant but their record is far from dominant. They are being done in by poor coaching, specifically on the offensive end. Maybe they turned a corner this week after their wipeout of the Saints. The Patriots are also a surprise in how they are getting things done this year. Their scoring output is below average the first time I can recall that in years, but their ability to prevent scoring has been top notch. On the negative side the Giants and Texans are now in the 30th and 31st spots ahead of only Jacksonville.

Through six weeks the toughest division in the NFL is the AFC West with an aggregate ranking of 62.8% with a projected 37.9 wins among the four teams. Second is the NFC West with 44.7% total efficiency  and 36.2 projected wins. The NFC South and NFC North are the other two positive divisions which pretty much ties in with the thought that the NFC is the superior conference.

The AFC East is the second toughest division in the AFC. The Dolphins and Patriots are both around the top 10 in the league while the Jets and Bills drag the numbers way down to a -8.4%. From there the divisions fall off a cliff. The AFC North, normally a powerhouse, is at -24.6%. Their highest ranking team is the Bengals who rank 14th. The NFC East has to be the most disappointing division at a -45.2%. The Giants, Redskins, and Eagles have combined for a -79.3% and that is the one division where you should already be able to project a winner in the Cowboys, unless the Cowboys collapse or one of the other teams has a miracle turnaround. The AFC South is the worst division, which should be expected

Power Rankings, Week 6

RankTeamScoring
Efficiency
Defensive
Efficiency
Total
Efficiency
Predicted
Wins
Dollars per
Win
1Seahawks23.8%25.8%49.6%12.7$10,564,028
2Saints25.8%22.6%48.4%12.6$9,860,616
3Broncos80.0%-33.2%46.8%12.3$10,890,779
4Chiefs-9.0%52.2%43.2%12.2$11,101,994
5Cowboys30.8%3.3%34.2%11.2$10,590,059
6Colts9.2%24.5%33.7%11.2$11,034,647
7Packers31.5%1.4%32.9%11.1$10,886,846
849ers13.2%19.7%32.9%11.1$11,284,207
9Panthers-16.7%42.1%25.4%10.5$10,911,557
10Patriots-5.5%25.9%20.5%10.0$12,381,234
11Titans3.6%12.6%16.2%9.5$13,357,639
12Dolphins15.0%0.8%15.7%9.5$11,621,769
13Lions9.5%0.2%9.6%8.9$13,466,401
14Bengals-13.0%22.2%9.2%8.9$14,134,448
15Ravens-12.4%19.4%7.0%8.7$14,076,545
16Cardinals-9.1%9.5%0.4%8.1$15,047,451
17Chargers0.1%-0.3%-0.2%8.0$15,154,856
18Bears22.9%-25.4%-2.5%7.7$16,500,439
19Falcons-9.4%5.6%-3.8%7.6$15,719,707
20Eagles21.0%-27.3%-6.3%7.3$17,646,973
21Browns-20.7%12.5%-8.1%7.3$15,476,468
22Bills24.3%-37.0%-12.7%6.7$17,004,395
23Raiders-34.9%7.8%-27.1%5.5$22,717,535
24Vikings18.6%-47.7%-29.2%5.2$25,075,227
25Redskins-17.2%-14.4%-31.6%5.0$21,485,334
26Jets-38.1%6.3%-31.8%5.0$24,798,582
27Steelers-28.6%-4.1%-32.7%4.9$25,240,297
28Buccaneers-44.6%10.8%-33.9%4.8$26,106,655
29Rams-10.4%-27.7%-38.1%4.4$28,087,886
30Giants-26.8%-14.7%-41.5%4.1$30,333,896
31Texans-16.9%-31.7%-48.6%3.4$36,502,300
32Jaguars-45.4%-30.3%-75.7%0.8$100,000,000

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