NFL Draft Selection Tracker

Welcome to our NFL Draft Selection Tracker. Now that we are well into the season many of us begin to turn our attention to where our teams will be selecting in the upcoming NFL draft. The following chart will be updated Friday, Sunday, and Tuesday to reflect the weeks’ results.

The draft order for the first 20 selections is determined by win/loss record with ties being broken by strength of schedule.  The SOS projections you see here are for a teams’ entire schedule for the season as that is eventual record that matters not the current SOS. Picks 21 through 32 are determined by playoff exits. Starting this week I removed the non playoff teams from the number 21 through 32 picks, which means the Cardinals drop to 20.

The Texans will take the number 1 pick and the Rams get the number 2 pick due to owning the Redskins draft pick . I’ll double check some of the closer tiebreakers as the night goes on but this should be accurate. The Cowboys and Ravens have an identical SOS per my records, which should mean a coin flip determines the pick since neither have a tie breaker to use.

Here is the list of trades I have for the draft (note this does not include conditional picks where no baseline pick was announced though there are plenty of them):

TeamPickTrade
RamsRedskins 1st2012 Draft
BrownsColts 1stRichardson
49ersChiefs 3rd (conditional 2nd)Smith
49ersTitans 3rd2013 Draft
BrownsSteelers 3rd2013 Draft
VikingsSeahawks 3rdHarvin
JetsBuccaneers 4th (conditional 3rd)Revis
BrownsColts 4th2013 Draft
JaguarsRavens 4thMonroe
JaguarsRavens 5thMonroe
EaglesPatriots 5thSopoaga
BearsBuccaneers 6thCarimi

 

If you see any errors don’t hesitate to email me.

Projected Order, January 19

PickTeamWin
Percentage
Strength of
Schedule
1Texans0.1250.559
2Redskins0.1880.516
3Jaguars0.2500.504
4Browns0.2500.516
5Raiders0.2500.523
6Falcons0.2500.553
7Buccaneers0.2500.574
8Vikings0.3440.512
9Bills0.3750.520
10Lions0.4380.457
11Titans0.4380.504
12Giants0.4380.520
13Rams0.4380.551
14Bears0.5000.465
15Steelers0.5000.469
16Ravens0.5000.484
17Cowboys0.5000.484
18Jets0.5000.488
19Dolphins0.5000.523
20Cardinals0.6250.531
21Packers0.5310.453
22Eagles0.6250.453
23Chiefs0.6880.445
24Bengals0.6880.480
25Chargers0.5630.496
26Colts0.6880.484
27Saints0.6880.516
28Panthers0.7500.494
29Patriots0.7500.473
3049ers0.7500.494
31Broncos0.8130.469
32Seahawks0.8130.490
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  • NYG Cap Central

    Great addition to the site Jason. Thanks.

    • Troy Chapman

      Agreed, love this little tracker.

  • Dwight

    Hey Jason,

    Love the site, use it frequently and appreciate this tracker. Quick question:

    If the Falcons and Bucs end up tied in the win column, is SOS or head to head the first tiebreaker?

    • http://www.nyjetscap.com/ Jason Fitzgerald

      Yes. SOS is the first tiebreaker in draft order regardless of head to head. H2H only comes into play when two teams have same record and same SOS

  • Dwight

    So, if HOU wins a game and ATL loses out [ that would include losing to WASH], wouldn’t the Falcons be the number 1 seed? Both team would have 3 wins and SOS favors the Falcons. Right? Or did I miss something?

    • http://www.nyjetscap.com/ Jason Fitzgerald

      I think the Atlanta/Houston match would be close in SOS. If Houston was to beat Indy or Tennessee that increases the loss column by two for the Texans since its a divisional loss. That brings their SOS down to 0.551. The Falcons would be 0.552 with a loss to Washington. So its just about a dead heat, with a slight advantage to Houston. Atlanta should beat the Bucs under any circumstance since their schedules are identical except Bucs play Philly and Detroit who are both better than Washington and Green Bay

      • Dwight

        Dang, well so much for that idea. Still, 2nd overall pick is still in play for ATL, and HOU almost undoubtedly will take a QB, leaving Clowney for my falcons.

        If they take Clowney number 1 overall, Falcons can trade down with a QB hungry team for extra picks.

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  • seenable

    The Lions sent their 2014 5th-round pick to JAX in exchange for WR Mike Thomas during the 2012 season.

    http://www.bigcatcountry.com/crows-nest/2012/10/31/3579272/mike-thomas-trade-compensation

  • The_Gnome

    The decade of the Patriots is now over. Bad cash management and drafting have hurt the future of the team.