Over the Cap http://overthecap.com NFL Salary Cap, Player Contracts, and Related News and Analysis Thu, 23 Oct 2014 20:37:43 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.2 Week 8 OTC FanDuel Fantasy Football Contesthttp://overthecap.com/week-8-otc-fanduel-fantasy-football-contest/ http://overthecap.com/week-8-otc-fanduel-fantasy-football-contest/#comments Thu, 23 Oct 2014 20:35:35 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8294

After another fun week of FanDuel with the readers of the site we have another game set up for this week. The entry fee is again $2 and I’ve expanded the field to 10 teams, which hopefully we can fill.  We have it set up so it wont cancel if we fall short but it seems like there is enough interest to get to 10 teams. Top 3 teams will win prizes for the week. You can sign up up until the 1PM games kickoff.

Follow this Link for the OTC Week 8 FanDuel League 

If you have not yet … Read the rest

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After another fun week of FanDuel with the readers of the site we have another game set up for this week. The entry fee is again $2 and I’ve expanded the field to 10 teams, which hopefully we can fill.  We have it set up so it wont cancel if we fall short but it seems like there is enough interest to get to 10 teams. Top 3 teams will win prizes for the week. You can sign up up until the 1PM games kickoff.

Follow this Link for the OTC Week 8 FanDuel League 

If you have not yet signed up for FanDuel I definitely reccomend it if you are a fan of Fantasy sports and have a few extra dollars to spend. There are all kinds of weekly leagues and there is no commitment beyond the game you sign up for. I can’t say I’m very good at it, but its a great deal of fun and just getting to put together the salary capped team is very addictive.

Last week was pretty much a no contest with Shawk running out to a quick lead after the 1PM games and never looking back. Shawk’s team scored an impressive 150.9 points with a big lift coming from Golden Tate, Sammy Watkins, and Kyle Orton, three excelent value picks last week. I snuck in second again, but way behind this time at just 115.9 pts. I had a few disappointing players but none a total dud (though Delanie Walker was pretty terrible). Unfortunately only Tate broke out and you need some breakout players to win.  Etobiason came in third place kind of in the same boat I was in with no real breakout showings on the team.

Congratulations to the winners and lets see if we can keep this going for the rest of the year.

 

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Franchise Tags Can and Often Do Go Horribly Wrong… via SNhttp://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2014-10-23/nfl-franchise-tag-contract-year-risks-orakpo-hardy-injuries-pressure-worilds-extensions-clady-mack-graham http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2014-10-23/nfl-franchise-tag-contract-year-risks-orakpo-hardy-injuries-pressure-worilds-extensions-clady-mack-graham#comments Thu, 23 Oct 2014 20:17:37 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8292 Check out my article this week at the Sporting News looking at the disappointment that often results from playing a season out on the Franchise tag.… Read the rest

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Check out my article this week at the Sporting News looking at the disappointment that often results from playing a season out on the Franchise tag.

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 8 Thursday Night Footballhttp://overthecap.com/nfl-predictions-2014-week-8-thursday-night-football/ http://overthecap.com/nfl-predictions-2014-week-8-thursday-night-football/#comments Thu, 23 Oct 2014 20:14:50 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8290

Last week I went 8-7 when playing with the points and 10-5 just picking winners. The yearly record is now 71-34-1 SU and 62-41-3 ATS.  Lets jump into Thursday night which is a big one…

Chargers (+9) over BRONCOS- This has the makings of a terrific football game and will solidify people’s feelings about San Diego one way or the other. On paper it is hard to imagine the Chargers being able to keep the Broncos offense in check, but they have been playing very well this season and don’t seem to make many glaring mistakes that Peyton Manning … Read the rest

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Last week I went 8-7 when playing with the points and 10-5 just picking winners. The yearly record is now 71-34-1 SU and 62-41-3 ATS.  Lets jump into Thursday night which is a big one…

Chargers (+9) over BRONCOS- This has the makings of a terrific football game and will solidify people’s feelings about San Diego one way or the other. On paper it is hard to imagine the Chargers being able to keep the Broncos offense in check, but they have been playing very well this season and don’t seem to make many glaring mistakes that Peyton Manning would eat up. Denver’s defense has been very good this year and should prove to be a strong test for Rivers and Gates. I think if the Broncos can keep Gates under wraps it becomes a more difficult task for San Diego especially if they can not establish their running game.  We got an exciting Thursday night one last week and I have my fingers crossed for another one tonight. Broncos 23 Chargers 20

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Jets Extend WR Jeremy Kerley for 4 Years, $16 Millionhttp://overthecap.com/jets-extend-wr-jeremy-kerley-4-years-16-million/ http://overthecap.com/jets-extend-wr-jeremy-kerley-4-years-16-million/#comments Tue, 21 Oct 2014 20:08:38 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8288

According to multiple outlets the Jets and wide receiver Jeremy Kerley have agreed to a four year contract extension worth $16 million with $5.4 million of the contract guaranteed.

The reported numbers put Kerley right below recent contracts signed by Julian Edelman ($4.25M per year) and Doug Baldwin ($4.33M). The total dollar figure and guarantee seem to indicate a contract very similar to the one signed by Andre Roberts with the Washington Redskins at $16 million with a $5.25 million guarantee.

I would assume Kerley’s $5.4 million guarantee is a true guarantee and not a combination of full and injury … Read the rest

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According to multiple outlets the Jets and wide receiver Jeremy Kerley have agreed to a four year contract extension worth $16 million with $5.4 million of the contract guaranteed.

The reported numbers put Kerley right below recent contracts signed by Julian Edelman ($4.25M per year) and Doug Baldwin ($4.33M). The total dollar figure and guarantee seem to indicate a contract very similar to the one signed by Andre Roberts with the Washington Redskins at $16 million with a $5.25 million guarantee.

I would assume Kerley’s $5.4 million guarantee is a true guarantee and not a combination of full and injury only guarantees based on the other contracts. Kerley’s salary this season was $1.431 million following his earning of the Proven Performance Escalator, and if I had to venture a guess would imagine is now guaranteed. That would leave a signing bonus in the region of $4-$4.6 million depending on how much, if any is guaranteed, in 2015.  Regardless the cap hits on the contract should be very reasonable for the Jets.

Kerley is one of the few bright spots in recent years on the Jets. He developed nicely since being drafted in 2011 into the best receiver on the team and I believe would have put up very strong numbers on a better offense. Following the trade  for Percy Harvin I had assumed that it would have meant the end for Kerley in Jet green, but the front office must believe the two can complement each other in the office.

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2015 NFL Draft Selection Trackerhttp://overthecap.com/2015-nfl-draft-selection-tracker/ http://overthecap.com/2015-nfl-draft-selection-tracker/#comments Tue, 21 Oct 2014 14:41:31 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8285

Welcome to our NFL Draft Selection Tracker. Now that we are nearly halfway into the season some of us unfortunately are already turning our attention to where our favorite teams will be selecting in the upcoming NFL draft. Hopefully this tracker will give you a better idea for your mock drafting or fan discussions. For now I will update the standings every Tuesday, but as we get deeper into the season I will update on Friday, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday to keep as up to date as possible.

The draft order for the first 20 selections is determined by win/loss … Read the rest

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Welcome to our NFL Draft Selection Tracker. Now that we are nearly halfway into the season some of us unfortunately are already turning our attention to where our favorite teams will be selecting in the upcoming NFL draft. Hopefully this tracker will give you a better idea for your mock drafting or fan discussions. For now I will update the standings every Tuesday, but as we get deeper into the season I will update on Friday, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday to keep as up to date as possible.

The draft order for the first 20 selections is determined by win/loss record with ties being broken by strength of schedule.  Most draft charts will only use the current SOS, but for this chart we use the SOS projections for a teams’ entire schedule since it’s that number that eventually matters. Picks 21 through 32 are determined by playoff exits. For the time being I am not making those changes since it is so early in the season, but for this week what that would mean is that the Bills and Panthers should pick 21 and 22 with the other teams being slotted down.

Our current top 5 picks belong to the Raiders, Jets, Jaguars, Buccaneers, and Vikings.  Based on how strong the Raiders division looks they will likely have a difficult time winning any draft tiebreaker this season. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has a tiebreaker advantage over almost anyone because the NFC South is terrible.

Eventually I’ll add a list of trades so feel free to email me any trades you know of for next season. If you notice any other errors also let me know and Ill check the formulas to make sure the schedules are correct.

2015 Projected Draft Order, October 21

PickTeamWin %SOS
1Raiders0.0000.573
2Jets0.1430.542
3Jaguars0.1430.556
4Buccaneers0.1670.458
5Vikings0.2860.477
6Falcons0.2860.486
7Titans0.2860.500
8Redskins0.2860.533
9Saints0.3330.491
10Rams0.3330.544
11Texans0.4290.481
12Bears0.4290.509
13Giants0.4290.547
14Browns0.5000.449
15Panthers0.5000.462
16Dolphins0.5000.495
17Bengals0.5000.505
18Chiefs0.5000.510
19Seahawks0.5000.572
20Steelers0.5710.439
21Bills0.5710.491
2249ers0.5710.535
23Ravens0.7140.458
24Lions0.7140.458
25Packers0.7140.463
26Chargers0.7140.480
27Patriots0.7140.495
28Colts0.8330.491
29Broncos0.8330.500
30Eagles0.8330.514
31Cardinals0.8330.519
32Cowboys0.8570.476

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The OTC NFL Power Rankings: Week 8http://overthecap.com/otc-nfl-power-rankings-week-8/ http://overthecap.com/otc-nfl-power-rankings-week-8/#comments Tue, 21 Oct 2014 13:47:56 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8283

With Monday night now in the books we have our official power rankings up to date. In case you have not read these before the rankings are based on a formula that measures how well (or poor) a team has performed against their specific schedule. So to read the chart for Denver you would say that the team scores 53.3% more points than their schedule allowed against all other teams and held their schedule to 18.3% below their normal points scored. The projected wins is based on a regression formula so that’s why in some cases teams are already above … Read the rest

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With Monday night now in the books we have our official power rankings up to date. In case you have not read these before the rankings are based on a formula that measures how well (or poor) a team has performed against their specific schedule. So to read the chart for Denver you would say that the team scores 53.3% more points than their schedule allowed against all other teams and held their schedule to 18.3% below their normal points scored. The projected wins is based on a regression formula so that’s why in some cases teams are already above or below their projections. The projections will change over the course of the year.

Despite the loss in St. Louis, the Seahawks still remain one of the top 5 teams in the NFL. They have played an incredibly difficult schedule  and while they are trending downward there is clearly enough there to win the division. Their defense is clearly not what it was last season which should have been expected. The variance year to year in that category is very high ad they were one of the best Super Bowl champions in that regard. The fact that they were an excellent defensive team two years in a row is surprising and to sustain that for three years would be really hard to do. What they need to do is stabilize themselves and prevent the falling off a cliff that we are seeing in Cincinnati, who has now plummeted to 15th in the rankings.

The AFC West is looking like the most elite division in the NFL. Currently they are fielding three top 10 teams in the rankings. The divisions with two are the NFC East and the NFC West. The most up for grabs division with decent play looks to be the AFC East with the Dolphins, Patriots, and Bills all sandwiched in the mid teens. The NFC South is on track to be the worst division of all time with rankings of 22, 23, 27, and 32.

NFL Power Rankings, Through Week 7

RankChangeTeamScoring EfficiencyDefensive EfficiencyTotal EfficiencyProjected Wins
1-Broncos53.3%18.3%71.7%14.8
2-Colts51.6%19.7%71.3%14.7
3+1Ravens9.5%41.4%50.9%12.9
4-1Seahawks23.6%11.9%35.5%11.3
5-Chargers14.4%20.7%35.1%11.3
6+2Chiefs11.4%20.7%32.2%11.1
7+3Eagles27.5%1.4%28.9%10.7
8+4Packers26.9%1.8%28.7%10.7
9-Cowboys15.9%7.4%23.3%10.2
10-4Cardinals3.0%16.6%19.7%9.9
11+2Lions-19.8%34.4%14.5%9.4
12-149ers0.7%10.2%10.9%9.0
13+6Dolphins11.7%-1.0%10.6%9.0
14-Patriots18.5%-13.4%5.0%8.4
15-8Bengals-2.7%7.3%4.6%8.4
16-Bills-7.7%12.3%4.5%8.4
17-Texans-3.6%7.3%3.7%8.4
18-Giants-0.1%0.1%0.0%8.0
19-4Browns0.1%-9.1%-9.0%7.1
20+3Steelers-11.4%-6.3%-17.7%6.3
21-1Bears-9.3%-9.1%-18.4%6.2
22-Saints9.9%-29.5%-19.6%6.1
23-1Panthers3.2%-23.5%-20.4%6.0
24-1Vikings-29.2%4.4%-24.8%5.7
25+3Jets-18.6%-9.8%-28.3%5.3
26+1Redskins-8.9%-22.3%-31.1%5.0
27-3Falcons1.1%-32.9%-31.8%4.9
28-2Titans-28.0%-5.1%-33.1%4.9
29+1Rams-13.5%-27.4%-40.8%4.1
30-1Raiders-32.1%-15.4%-47.5%3.5
31-Jaguars-35.7%-13.9%-49.6%3.3
32-1Buccaneers-22.8%-52.9%-75.7%0.8

 

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NFL Stock Down: Week 7http://overthecap.com/nfl-stock-down-week-7-brian-hoyer-andy-dalton/ http://overthecap.com/nfl-stock-down-week-7-brian-hoyer-andy-dalton/#comments Mon, 20 Oct 2014 13:42:29 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8281

Every Monday during the season we will take a look back at three players who are entering important stages of their contract that may have hurt their stock in upcoming negotiations with their play on Sunday. In addition we will also look at one player signed in the offseason to a new contract that did not live up to the expectations that his contract sets for the player.

Stock Down

Brian Hoyer- Maybe Hoyer was reading into the press clippings too much but this was a dog of a game that looked more backup level quarterback than competent starter. … Read the rest

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Every Monday during the season we will take a look back at three players who are entering important stages of their contract that may have hurt their stock in upcoming negotiations with their play on Sunday. In addition we will also look at one player signed in the offseason to a new contract that did not live up to the expectations that his contract sets for the player.

Stock Down

Brian Hoyer- Maybe Hoyer was reading into the press clippings too much but this was a dog of a game that looked more backup level quarterback than competent starter. To complete 39% of your passes against Jacksonville is about as bad a game a player can have in the NFL. For a player at his level he cant afford many games like this.

CJ Spiller- I always dislike putting an injured player in this category, but this was really devastating for Spiller who will likely miss the rest of the season. Spiller needed more of an opportunity in his walk year to do something special enough to warrant a mid tier contract. Now he could be looking at either a one year “prove it” type contract in the same pay range of Knowshon Moreno or a far lesser two year contract like Ben Tate.

Osi Umenyiora- Another game and another empty stat sheet for Umenyiora. The Falcons are not out of the race because the NFC South is so bad, but if there is a player they should trade its Osi, who doesn’t fit in the system and isn’t benefitting either side by remaining in Atlanta.

New Contract Disappointment Of The Week

Andy Dalton- When Dalton is bad he can be atrocious and after a hot start it looks like the Bengals have entered the bad Dalton period of the season. The franchise QB finished the day 18 of 38 for a sad 126 yards and no scores. That can’t be what the Bengals expected when they signed Dalton to a $16 million a year extension this offseason.

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NFL Stock Up: Week 7http://overthecap.com/nfl-stock-up-week-7-russell-wilson-dez-bryant-demaryius-thomas/ http://overthecap.com/nfl-stock-up-week-7-russell-wilson-dez-bryant-demaryius-thomas/#comments Mon, 20 Oct 2014 13:34:18 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8279

Every Monday during the season we will take a look back at three players who are entering important stages of their contract that may have helped their stock in upcoming negotiations with their play on Sunday. In addition we will also look at one player signed in the offseason to a new contract that exceeded all expectations and provided exceptional value to his team.

Stock Up

Russell Wilson- It makes no difference to me that Seattle lost the game. Seattle fans are watching Wilson enter another dimension with his play this season. Wilson was already set to make a … Read the rest

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Every Monday during the season we will take a look back at three players who are entering important stages of their contract that may have helped their stock in upcoming negotiations with their play on Sunday. In addition we will also look at one player signed in the offseason to a new contract that exceeded all expectations and provided exceptional value to his team.

Stock Up

Russell Wilson- It makes no difference to me that Seattle lost the game. Seattle fans are watching Wilson enter another dimension with his play this season. Wilson was already set to make a killing on an extension, but he’s very quickly putting himself in a different statistical class. The more they entrust him with the ball the better and better he is going to look.

Dez Bryant- Bryant is a physical marvel and took over the game in the second half. He faced some tight coverage against the Giants but nothing seemed to diminish his game. There are few receivers that would have consistently pulled down the passes he was pulling down. I think a strong argument can be made that he is the best receiver in the NFL.

Demaryius Thomas- Thomas had another exceptional game in his walk year, this time catching Peyton Manning’s record breaking touchdown and adding another 171 yards to his stat line. Thomas has been unstoppable the last three week and unlike former running mate Eric Decker will not get the label of being a Manning creation. Thomas will be one of the top 5 paid receivers by next season.

New Contract Player Of The Week

Golden Tate- There have been a few games this year where Tate was someone I considered for this, but there was no denying him this week. He finished the day with 10 receptions for 154 yards including a ridiculous touchdown where he outran the whole Saints defense.  He would be the best receiver in Seattle had they kept him.

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 7http://overthecap.com/nfl-predictions-2014-week-7/ http://overthecap.com/nfl-predictions-2014-week-7/#comments Sun, 19 Oct 2014 03:34:22 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8277

Last week I went 9-5-1 SU and 9-5-1 ATS. Sadly I split on Thursday when ideally I wanted to lose on both choices and see the Jets win outright.  The yearly record now stands at 62-29-1 and 54-35-3. Onto week 7….

COLTS (-3) over Bengals- The Colts are on a roll right now and clicking in almost every phase of the game while the Bengals have struggled on defense the last two weeks. The Bengals need to right the ship but this is not the team to do it against. Colts 34 Bengals 27

Titans (+5.5) over REDSKINS- … Read the rest

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Last week I went 9-5-1 SU and 9-5-1 ATS. Sadly I split on Thursday when ideally I wanted to lose on both choices and see the Jets win outright.  The yearly record now stands at 62-29-1 and 54-35-3. Onto week 7….

COLTS (-3) over Bengals- The Colts are on a roll right now and clicking in almost every phase of the game while the Bengals have struggled on defense the last two weeks. The Bengals need to right the ship but this is not the team to do it against. Colts 34 Bengals 27

Titans (+5.5) over REDSKINS- Everyone know I don’t think much of Tennessee so this pick shows how little I think of the Redskins. Washington will make enough mistakes to keep the game with 5 points, though I would be surprised if they lost the game outright. Redskins 23 Titans 19

Dolphins (+3) over BEARS- Miami comes off a heartbreaker loss and this has the makings of another close one that I think they will lose. Should be a good game with the Dolphins defense doing enough to stay in the game, despite being on the road. Bears 24 Dolphins 23

Browns (-5.5) over JAGUARS- Unless the Browns have a letdown game I cant see any way the Jaguars compete. Jacksonville is one of the three worst teams in the NFL and outside of the young QB may not have any bright spot on their roster. Browns 34 Jaguars 13

Seahawks (-6) over RAMS- While the Seahawks have not looked great every week and may be a bit distracted by the Percy Harvin trade, the Rams defense is so bad that it’s the perfect cure. I’d venture that the talking point after this game is how great the Seahawks are now that Harvin is out of the locker room. Seahawks 34 Rams 17

PACKERS (-6.5) over Panthers- A few weeks ago I would have just passed this game off as a blowout, but Cam Newton has been so much better that I’m excited to see how it plays out. I think this will be close with the Packers pulling it out at the end. Packers 31 Panthers 24

RAVENS (-6.5) over Falcons- Atlanta really needs this game after last weeks dud against the Bears, but this is such a bad opponent for them. The Ravens are playing extremely well and are always a toug team at home. Ravens 34 Falcons 17

Vikings (+5) over Bills- If there is a snoozefest of the week it will probably be this game. Neither team can do much offensively so the game likely comes down to what team makes a defensive play or special teams play. Buffalo’s defense is the one I would expect to do just that, but not enough times to cover the points. Bills 17 Vikings 13

LIONS (-1.5) over Saints- Im amazed at the turnaround of the Lions defense and I fully expect them to shut down what is a very over rated Saints offense. I don’t know if the Lions offense can score that much but they don’t need to even against the Saints. Lions 23 Saints 16

CHARGERS (-3.5) over Chiefs- Chargers were not great against the Raiders, but did make the plays they needed at the end of the game to avoid the upset loss. Chiefs have had the extra week to prepare but its not a great matchup for them and I cant take Alex Smith over Phillip Rivers. Chargers 23 Chiefs 17

Giants (+6.5) over COWBOYS- I whiffed badly on New York last week, but I can’t imagine they will be that bad two weeks in a row. Dallas looks like the better team but Im not sure if they are really a full touchdown better. Cowboys 26 Giants 21

Cardinals (-3.5) over RAIDERS- If the Raiders have a hangover from last weeks close loss to their division rivals then this could get ugly. Cardinals 27 Raiders 13

49ers (+7) over BRONCOS- This should be a good Sunday Night game. Both teams have good defenses and both have effective offenses. Id be a little worried about this pick if the Broncos get out to a fast start, but as long as the Niners can play at their tempo this should be close. Broncos 24 49ers 21

Texans (+3) over STEELERS- Not sure anyone is getting excited about this game. Pittsburgh continues to disappoint and there is no real reason to assume they will win this game. Texans 23 Steelers 17

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@ZackMooreNFL’s Take on Harvin to the Jetshttp://overthecap.com/zackmoorenfls-take-harvin-jets/ http://overthecap.com/zackmoorenfls-take-harvin-jets/#comments Fri, 17 Oct 2014 22:57:11 +0000 http://overthecap.com/?p=8271

The Seahawks and Jets just rocked the football world with the rare in season trade as the Jets have just received Percy Harvin for a conditional pick. 

It seems like a strange move considering the Seahawks gave up a first, third and seventh rounder for him and they’re a team that highly values their draft picks, along with the fact that he’s one of the most explosive playmakers in football, but it also makes complete sense when you look at some of the numbers along with how the Seahawks are constructed. 

According to ESPN’s fantasy department, “Harvin only played 59.5 Read the rest

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The Seahawks and Jets just rocked the football world with the rare in season trade as the Jets have just received Percy Harvin for a conditional pick. 

It seems like a strange move considering the Seahawks gave up a first, third and seventh rounder for him and they’re a team that highly values their draft picks, along with the fact that he’s one of the most explosive playmakers in football, but it also makes complete sense when you look at some of the numbers along with how the Seahawks are constructed. 

According to ESPN’s fantasy department, “Harvin only played 59.5 percent of Seattle’s snaps this year — nearly 30 percent less than both Doug Baldwin and Jermaine Kearse — and Harvin doesn’t have the blocking skills a run-heavy offense like Seattle’s would ideally feature at receiver.” Considering that he’s also owed a non-guaranteed $41.5 million over the next four years, they must have decided that Paul Richardson was a better move for them financially. 

I think the writing was on the wall when they drafted Richardson with a second round pick last May, he’s the same kind of explosive playmaker, but he’s playing on a four year, $4.7 million deal, while Harvin is in the middle of a five year $64.2 million deal and playing less than 60% of the team’s snaps. They must feel that Richardson is ready to step into that role sooner than expected.

The fact that Harvin is one of the most injury prone players in the league must have also factored into this decision, on both ends as he is apparently only worth a mid-round pick which I think is a reflection of his injury history. We can all agree that he’s one of the most dynamic playmakers in the NFL and while I know he hasn’t performed very well this year, if a player like Antonio Brown or Emmanuel Sanders was traded mid-season in this way, they’d command much higher than a mid-round pick.

While I do think that Harvin is a difficult player to deal with as a team because of how much time he misses, the Jets are well equipped to handle him missing time with Jeremy Kerley. I think it’s a great move for the Jets, when you can get one of the biggest playmakers in the NFL for a mid-round pick and you have the salary cap space to do it, it’s a great move for your team, I just wish it came before they sank to 1-6 on the season. 

I think he’ll fit in well with what Rex Ryan does with his offense as well and what I like most about this move is the fact that after this season, they’ll know for sure if Geno Smith is the quarterback of the future. While I know the team hasn’t performed as well as an optimist would hope, they’ve got a lot of weapons around Geno Smith now. 

Pretend this isn’t the New York Jets and all the negativity that creeps into your mind just at the sight of their name in text, think of their skill players right now. The running backs are Chris Ivory with the power, Chris Johnson with speed, Bilal Powell as the number three after rushing for 697 yards last season. 

They’ve got Eric Decker on the outside finally healthy after a hamstring issue to start the season, a guy who had 2,352 receiving yards and 24 touchdowns in 2012 and 2013. Now, you’ve got Percy Harvin as your #2 guy which will open Decker up to more single coverage and freedom to make plays. I know we haven’t seen Harvin play 16 games since 2011, but at least he’s well rested, am I right?!?!?! 

In 2011 though, Harvin was one of the best players in the league with 87 catches, 967 yards receiving, 345 rushing and 8 offensive touchdowns. In 2012, he played 9 games and had 62 catches for 677 yards and 3 TDs, which over 16 games would give him 110 catches for 1,203 yards. 

There are some guys who are just too explosive for their own good almost, I’ve seen it at DeFranco’s Gym with guys like Michael Smith who was a 7th rounder in 2012 and a running back for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but just hasn’t been able to stay healthy during his time in the NFL. Harvin might be one of those guys, but with the right training and care, we could see him blossom in this new opportunity.

Let’s not forget that the Jets still have Jeremy Kerley who is a nice supplement to this offense, but shouldn’t be a focal point like he’s had to be at times this season. Falling back into a role more suited for him, we will see him benefit from this as well. Greg Salas and David Nelson are good role players in the 4th and 5th receiver spots, which is more suited for who they are as players right now. 

At tight end, I think the Jets have a future All-Pro type player in Jace Amaro, I love what he did at Texas Tech and he fits exactly what the Jets needed going into the draft, so I’m very happy to see the hometown green team making some savvy moves after the mockery that the last few years have been. Jeff Cumberland is a very good second tight end, so there’s another guy that the Jets have put in a better place to succeed through good decisions. 

One thing that I really like about the Seahawks is their open mindedness and ability to admit they made a mistake and rectify it. Considering the way the Seahawks manage their team, spending $64.2 million on an oft-injured, risky player like Harvin is outside of what they normally do, a mistake they already made with Sidney Rice. They saw an opportunity to rid themselves of a contract that wasn’t working out for them, you just don’t pay someone that kind of money to play 60% of your snaps. It’s not Harvin’s fault either, he just didn’t seem to be the right fit for that kind of money. 

The Seahawks are the kind of team that sends a brochure to agents of undrafted free agents to show them how they let the best players play no matter where they’re drafted. Simply put, they might just be the most well managed team in all of football right now, so they just cut costs with a player who wasn’t fitting in well anyway.

I see some people questioning this move considering that the Seahawks gave up three picks for Harvin to get him, but they just became so much more flexible heading into the future and they won a Super Bowl last season. Sure, Richardson might not be Harvin, but they must have decided that he is a good enough substitute after a cost-benefit analysis. They won a Super Bowl with Harvin playing one regular season game and the Super Bowl, they must have decided that getting rid of this contract was the right move.

Overall, I rate this as a great trade for both sides and I’m excited to see how the Jets use him. Dear Rex Ryan, don’t Tebow us with this one, I can feel the excitement of Jets fans bursting through my social media networks, don’t break their hearts my good man!

@ZackMooreNFL

Onnit.com: Total Human Optimization 

The post @ZackMooreNFL’s Take on Harvin to the Jets appeared first on Over the Cap.

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