Expected Contract Value: A Holistic Approach to Valuing NFL Contracts

Given the recent comments made by Deadspin and Pro Football Talk as to the inadequacy of the current convention for reporting and discussing NFL contracts, I thought it would make sense to post the entirety of the research paper that Nick and I submitted to the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference.  The paper can be downloaded as a PDF via the link below:

Expected Contract Value – A Holistic Approach to Valuing NFL Contracts (Johnston & Barton)

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nick Barton.

Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate M&A associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm.  Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail at bryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nick Barton is  a junior at the McDonough School Business at  Georgetown University.  He is majoring in Finance and Operations and Information Management. Nick currently interns with an NFL team . His prior work experience includes interning with CollegeSplits and Dynamic Sports Solutions, and working as a research assistant for the Center of Applied Research of the Apostolate.

  • McGeorge

    >.Given the recent comments made by Deadspin and Pro Football Talk as to the inadequacy of the current convention for reporting and discussing NFL contracts,

    Well, if PFT says it, it must be true, since Mike Florio is one of the smartest 10,000,000,000 people in the world, and would never run his mouth and make stupid comments that are factually incorrect or poorly thought out.