Expected Contract Value Calculations (3/13/2016)

Beginning the week of March 21st I will post positional reports based on Expected Contract Value with commentary and a depictions of the information that is easier to process, but for reference purposes I will continue to post the calculations on a rolling basis as they become available.

Mohamed Sanu, Sean Smith, J.R. Sweezy, Doug Martin, Tamba Hali, William Hayes, Cedric Thornton, Donald Stephenson, Jermaine Kearse, Matt Forte, Bilal Powell, Vincent Rey, Tracy Porter, and Antonio Gates.

Mohamed Sanu
Stated Value: $32,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201699.8%$8,000,000
201796.9%$6,000,000
2018$6,000,00065.9%$3,951,449
2019$6,000,00045.1%$2,706,493
2020$6,500,00023.1%$1,500,603
Subtotal$8,158,545$14,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$22,158,545 (68%)
Sean Smith
Stated Value: $38,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
2016$250,00097.5%$243,770$10,750,000
2017$5,250,00078.3%$4,112,076$4,250,000
2018$8,500,00044.2%$3,760,157
2019$9,000,00020.6%$1,851,578
Subtotal$9,967,580$15,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$24,967,580 (66%)
J.R. Sweezy
Stated Value: $32,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201698.0%$9,500,000
2017$2,500,00090.9%$2,271,688$2,500,000
2018$6,500,00070.6%$4,588,142
2019$5,750,00056.9%$3,273,929
2020$5,750,00037.0%$2,129,589
Subtotal$12,263,349$12,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$24,263,349 (75%)
Doug Martin
Stated Value: $35,750,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201698.8%$8,000,000
201793.3%$7,000,000
2018$6,750,00070.3%$4,748,623
2019$7,000,00037.7%$2,637,863
2020$7,000,00013.5%$947,093
Subtotal$8,333,579$15,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$23,333,579 (65%)
Tamba Hali
Stated Value: $21,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
2016$1,250,00095.0%$1,187,993$5,750,000
2017$1,250,00061.3%$766,733$5,750,000
2018$7,000,00011.6%$813,054
Subtotal$2,767,780$11,500,000
Expected Contract Value:$14,267,780 (68%)
William Hayes
Stated Value: $17,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201692.1%$7,000,000
2017$2,500,00057.0%$1,425,283$3,000,000
2018$5,000,00022.4%$1,121,346
Subtotal$2,546,629$10,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$12,546,629 (72%)
Cedric Thornton
Stated Value: $17,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201698.4%$6,000,000
2017$3,000,00088.2%$2,646,226
2018$4,000,00062.8%$2,510,595
2019$4,000,00033.8%$1,353,495
Subtotal$6,510,316$6,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$12,510,316 (74%)
Donald Stephenson
Stated Value: $14,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201697.5%$6,000,000
2017$4,000,00080.5%$3,218,709
2018$4,000,00053.8%$2,151,794
Subtotal$5,370,503$6,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$11,370,503 (81%)
Jermaine Kearse
Stated Value: $13,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201698.5%$6,300,000
2017$2,200,00086.4%$1,901,736
2018$5,000,00031.8%$1,589,422
Subtotal$3,491,258$6,300,000
Expected Contract Value:$9,791,158 (73%)
Matt Forte
Stated Value: $12,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201694.5%$5,000,000
201757.4%$4,000,000
2018$3,000,00010.5%$316,213
Subtotal$316,213$9,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$9,316,213 (78%)
Bilal Powell
Stated Value: $11,250,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201697.9%$3,500,000
2017$1,250,00078.5%$981,610$2,500,000
2018$4,000,00024.5%$980,125
Subtotal$1,961,736$6,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$7,961,736 (71%)
Vincent Rey
Stated Value: $10,500,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
2016$1,500,00087.4%$1,311,620$3,000,000
2017$3,250,00058.1%$1,888,171
2018$2,750,00038.4%$1,055,143
Subtotal$4,254,934$3,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$7,254,934 (69%)
Tracy Porter
Stated Value: $12,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
2016$250,00089.8%$224,549$4,250,000
2017$3,750,00045.5%$1,706,669
2018$3,750,00020.8%$779,816
Subtotal$2,711,034$4,250,000
Expected Contract Value:$6,961,034 (58%)
Antonio Gates
Stated Value: $11,000,000
YearSalaryExpected OutcomeExpected ValueGuaranteed
201659.4%$6,000,000
2017$5,000,0008.7%$436,992
Subtotal$432,992$6,000,000
Expected Contract Value:$6,436,992 (59%)
 

Expected Contract Value was created by Bryce Johnston and Nick Barton.


Bryce Johnston earned his Juris Doctor from Georgetown University Law Center in May 2014, and currently works as a corporate M&A associate in the New York City office of an AmLaw 50 law firm.  Before becoming a contributor to overthecap.com, Bryce operated eaglescap.com for 10 NFL offseasons, appearing multiple times on 610 WIP Sports Radio in Philadelphia as an NFL salary cap expert. Bryce can be contacted via e-mail atbryce.l.johnston@gmail.com or via Twitter @NFLCapAnalytics.

Nick Barton is  a junior at the McDonough School Business at  Georgetown University.  He is majoring in Finance and Operations and Information Management. Nick currently interns with an NFL team . His prior work experience includes interning with CollegeSplits and Dynamic Sports Solutions, and working as a research assistant for the Center of Applied Research of the Apostolate.