To add some context to OTC’s Rookie Class Evaluation, here’s a look at the best 12 rookie classes from 2011-2014. The class’s Snap Index is indicated in parentheses, and links to each rookie class are contained within the number of vested veteran contracts and extensions were secured from the class. 1. 2014 Jaguars (21.483) 11 […]
With the deadline for placing the franchise or transition tag on players now in the past, we can take a closer look as to how teams could approach free agency with respect to gaining potential for compensatory picks a year from now. A few of the factors that come into judging potential for each team […]
Expected Contract Outcomes – Expected Contract Value 2.0 utilizes an algorithm based on a player’s contract characteristics, age, position and 2015 performance to forecast probabilities as to the outcomes of contract termination decisions. The lower the Expected Outcome, the more likely the player’s contract will be terminated in 2016. A pay cut is treated as […]
The following table displays the likelihood of each player with a salary cap number of $2 million or more remaining under contract for 2016, as calculated by Expected Contract Value 2.0. Pay cuts and retirements are considered releases for purposes of Expected Contract Value. Players subject to 5th year team options of rookie contracts are not […]
It looks to be a very poor year for the free agent tight end in 2016. Few players have stood out this season and those who have are both big surprises for older players who likely won’t see a big spike in value because of their age. So let’s see who is available and what […]
Quarterbacks Running Backs Wide Receivers Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Charles Clay $38,000,000 $32,951,000 87% $6,590,200 Julius Thomas $46,000,000 $31,479,600 68% $6,295,920 Lance Kendricks $18,500,000 $13,352,250 72% $3,338,063 Jordan Cameron $15,000,000 $10,652,500 71% $5,326,250 Owen Daniels $12,250,000 $6,423,000 52% $2,141,000 Lee Smith $9,350,000 $6,418,500 69% $2,139,500 Virgil Green $8,400,000 $5,830,500 69% $1,943,500 Ed […]
I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Quarterbacks: Josh McCown Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 — 89.2% […]