The Questions Woody Johnson Must Ask About Idzik, Rex, and the Jets

[adsenseyu1] With another lackluster loss in the books for the Jets I wanted to look at some of the decisions that the team will need to make in the future regarding their current front office. The decisions in this case need to come from the top, and that lies with the owner Woody Johnson making […]

2016 Cap Analytics: Minnesota Vikings

Adrian Peterson’s contract situation offers an interesting case of the tradeoff between contractual risk, potential for surplus value, and optionality.  Even after Peterson’s 2016 salary becomes guaranteed and his roster bonus vests on the 3rd day of the league year, Peterson holds all of the contractual risk for 2017.  This risk is coupled with a […]

Expected Contract Value Free Agency Summary: Defensive Lineman

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs Wide Receivers  |  Tight Ends Offensive Lineman  |  Pass Rushers Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Ndamukong Suh $114,360,000 $78,091,830 68% $13,015,305 Jared Odrick $42,500,000 $28,798,000 68% $5,759,600 Dan Williams $25,000,000 $19,437,150 78% $4,859,287 Stephen Paea $21,000,000 $15,142,450 72% $3,785612 Kendall Langford $17,200,000 $9,289,800 54% $2,322,450 Corey Peters $9,000,000 $6,687,000 […]

Expected Contract Value: Valuing Free Agent Contracts (Defense)

I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Defensive Lineman: Ndamukong Suh Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 $15,000 […]