As expected, the 2019 compensatory draft picks were released today. As always, upon seeing the official release it’s proper to judge how my prediction did against it. This year went very well overall but there were still a few incorrect round cutoffs that need to be cleaned up.
This article refers specifically to OTC’s projection for the 2018 NFL Draft’s compensatory picks. For details on the basics and methodology of projecting compensatory picks in general, please reference this article. To understand how this projection is generated for each team, please reference the compensatory picks cancellation charts here. UPDATE – January 17: Two minor […]
1. Julius Thomas, Jaguars Cap Saved: $4.7 million/Cash Saved: $7.1 million This is one of the worst contracts in the NFL for a team and one that has been typical of the many problems the Jaguars have had in rebuilding via free agency. Thomas had never played in 16 games in his entire career, twice […]
2015 @ZackMooreNFL’s Mock DraftI do my mock draft a little different than how most members of the NFL media do it. Pair that with the exciting work we do at Over the Cap during the offseason, we have a lot more to cover than most people this time of year as well. While everyone does […]
Quarterbacks Running Backs Wide Receivers Player Nominal Value ECV % Expected ECV/Year Charles Clay $38,000,000 $32,951,000 87% $6,590,200 Julius Thomas $46,000,000 $31,479,600 68% $6,295,920 Lance Kendricks $18,500,000 $13,352,250 72% $3,338,063 Jordan Cameron $15,000,000 $10,652,500 71% $5,326,250 Owen Daniels $12,250,000 $6,423,000 52% $2,141,000 Lee Smith $9,350,000 $6,418,500 69% $2,139,500 Virgil Green $8,400,000 $5,830,500 69% $1,943,500 Ed […]
I will update this post as we get more contract details, and at the end of the primary signing period I will review the Expected Contract Value results for each position group, but for now I will post these numbers without comment. Quarterbacks: Josh McCown Year Salary Expected Outcome Expected Value Adjustment 2015 — 89.2% […]
With the report today that Julius Thomas turned down a contract offer that would pay him $8 million a season I thought it would be a good time to look at Thomas, who I have felt would end up as one of the most overpaid players in free agency this year. We can also look […]