The 2021 league year in the NFL officially starts on Wednesday, March 17. The two day negotiating period of free agency commences on Monday, March 15, and this is the time when we would typically get first knowledge of the largest contracts to be signed. With those contracts signed come the generation of compensatory picks […]

UPDATE (3/19/2021): This article has been edited to reflect mistakes that the NFL Management Council made in its initial compensatory pick release. The 2021 compensatory draft picks were released today. As always, upon seeing the official release it’s proper to judge how my projection did against it, especially with a season of so much upheaval.

This article refers specifically to OTC’s projection for the 2021 NFL Draft’s compensatory picks. For details on the basics and methodology of projecting compensatory picks in general, please reference this article. Note that this projection does not include compensatory picks awarded via 2020 Resolution JC-2A, of which, per Michael David Smith of Pro Football Talk, […]

There have been several developments regarding how compensatory picks are now being awarded since OTC’s last written update on its projection of the 2021 slate of comp picks. Let’s get right to it. Team Round Compensated Free Agent APY NE 3 Tom Brady $25,000,000 LAC 3 Philip Rivers $25,000,000 NO 3 Teddy Bridgewater $21,000,000 DAL […]

In the new CBA, the deadline for unrestricted free agents to be able to qualify as compensatory free agents (CFAs) was moved up again, now to the first Monday after the draft. This year, that’s April 27. Now that that date has passed, let’s take a look at where OTC’s projection for the 2021 compensatory […]

UPDATE – January 8: This projection has been revised to account for a correction to the qualification of Mike Iupati. Please read more here. UPDATE 2 – January 31: With the news that declined options may no longer allow players to become compensatory free agents, an additional note has been made on the possibility of […]